RitualOfTheTrout

Canadian models owe us something after all the headfakes showing a big storm over the years only to cave to the no snow models. Time to pay the bill and score a coop maybe? Lol

Keeping an eye on Saturday, NAM looked a little thumpy before mix. I hope we can hold onto the pack through the arctic outbreak just to keep snow otg streak going. Getting another inch or two before we warm up enough for rain / mix would go a long way to helping with that.

City looks to get raked, just in time for rush hour.

RGEM and CMC are the furthest NW, but even those we are fringed a bit. Pinpointing when the boundary gets hung up is not a high confidence forecast but looks like GFS finally jumped onboard of there even being a storm. Looks like a pretty good slug about to move through. Planning on leaving work early, but may need to head out a bit earlier to enjoy those heavier returns (and avoid the evening commute disaster that is Pittsburgh traffic lol).

Ill be at work, oh who am I kidding ill be looking out the window and watching radar either way lol. It will be interesting to see if anyone gets lucky with banding.

Thursday does look a little more robust right now. Could be another 1-2 for sure. Closing in on a fresh inch right now.

Light snow and temperature at 16, deep winter! Maybe we can squeeze a couple inches out of these next 2 light events. Saturday looks mixy, maybe it can trend better. Next week still looks interesting too.

I think after 2 solid weeks of relatively deep cold and NW flow I'll be ready to roll the dice on something with higher upside. Once the lakes start to ice over this current pattern will lose most of any potential upside options outside of a vigorous clipper or miller B type redevelopment. Now that the we look to be heading more towards a +NAO and -EPO I'd expect some cold outbreaks but they should be more progressive. A more moisture laden or overrunning event event even if we mix or rain for a portion wouldn't be the worst, of course an all snow event would be fine too. The type of setup being advertised is more likely to end up further NW outside of some perfectly timed northern stream vort squashing everything so seeing things a little more SE right now isn't the worst. Never any guarantees so hopefully the interesting looks for next week hold. Crazy how balmy 31 degrees felt this morning.

Dang, to bad the gfs ends at 384, it was in the middle of an epic storm, we are getting a major ice storm after 8-12 of snow with more fun on the way. (For entertainment purposes only)

Measured between half an inch to 3/4. Disappointing from a totals perspective but refreshed the wintry scenery at least.

Finally getting some light snow.

Hrrr has the hole modeled pretty well, also shows it filling in later but I think the damage is done given we've missed a couple hours of snow already.

Hole is pretty much right over my house.

Yeah, I was a little worried several short range models showed that better banding NW of the city. Some areas already with 2-4 on the ground that weren't even in an advisory until they just recently upgraded. Still need to see how it plays out but nothing but a few flurries here so far. Probably will be lucky to get much more than an inch.

Everything mostly in agreement for a general 1-3. Ill take it.