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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    PDS warned now.
  2. mob1
    Is that a satellite tornado south of the main one? It's been showing up on many scans now.
  3. mob1
  4. mob1
    Beast of a supercell. Surprised it doesn't have a PDS warning.
  5. mob1
    First confirmed tornado of the day
  6. mob1
    That cell near Sonora TX might have a TDS, it's a bit hard to tell but it also had a nice hook echo before ingesting some showers from the south.
  7. mob1
    6.3" here, definitely a nice surprise.
  8. mob1
    Ended with 5" on the nose, not bad at all.
  9. mob1
  10. mob1
    By the time in bombs out the best dynamics quickly collapse eastward. You want the storm to slow a little once it passes our latitude and maybe have a bit more of a northerly heading as the CCB matures. I guess beggars can't be choosers, but this is not ideal for optimal dynamics.
  11. mob1
    We're also losing dynamics with each successive run. A deamplified storm may be good for our location in terms of snow in general, but you're losing good rates and dynamic cooling in an already questionable airmass. You're essentially trading a formidable snowstorm for northern areas for a slop fest in our backyards.
  12. mob1
    I'd kill for that. Given the temperatures to start, dry midlevels at the storms closest approach (that aspect is always undermodeled)- then it'll take some time to moisten the columns again and by then the storm is moving east quickly and it'll be daytime anyways so it'll likely be white rain. If NYC records an inch, I'll consider it a win.
  13. mob1
    Steady light snow now in SI, hope I can squeeze out an inch.
  14. mob1
    Highest gust of the day just now at 47 mph. Let's see if I can crack 50.
  15. mob1
    Wow, that is some pretty impressive damage. Images coming out of rural areas aren't much better
  16. mob1
    Otis might just be the worst of the EPAC due to location of landfall. Hopefully, it will weaken just before the eyewall comes ashore. Regardless, that's a bad spot for flooding and population, even if it does not hold Cat 4 through landfall. It's not moving all that fast. Definitely, it's also moving a bit east of the forecast track (at least the early afternoon one) and should landfall fairly close to Acapulco. Even if it weakens as it comes ashore, the surge has already built up and the damage is done.
  17. mob1
    A bit of a positive bust today for rain here. Most models had about half an inch through today, I'm at 1.22" with a sizeable band of moderate to heavy rain moving in.
  18. mob1
    Looks like it's headed south of PV for now, and given its size they might be spared the worst if it doesn't take on a more notherly heading.
  19. mob1
    Recon found peak surface winds of 108 knots, this should be a category 4 hurricane soon and still has some very warm waters to traverse.
  20. mob1
    A friend of mine lives in Woodmere and says his entire neighborhood has 2-3 feet of standing water.
  21. mob1
    JFK with a hair under 6 inches already (very likely over that by now).
  22. mob1
    JFK-east will probably be the next big problem area.
  23. mob1
    You're looking at the wrong hour. Last hour was 1.02", the 1.96" was the hour before that.
  24. mob1
    Some showers are developing near Tom's River and moving northward, we'll see what the next few hours bring as it stopped raining here completely. I think the bands going into Queens are Nassau will have to lighten up a bit as otherwise we'll be sucking subsidence for hours.
  25. mob1
    Queens and Nassau should get absolutely pummeled over the next few hours.
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