mob1

A bit of sleet mixing in now, 9.7" Double digits is a lock as sleet will still accumulate a bit.

Maybe longer if I'm still snow here. I'm usually the first to flip (in the city at least)

Radar seems to be filling in SW to NE a bit from Philly to just south of the city. Wonder if heavier precipitation will slowly down the mix line a bit. Still all snow here surprisingly enough.

Still all snow (holding my breath) and closing in on 10", need 30 more minutes or so.

Still have not seen or heard a single sleet pallet. 8.9" and counting.

Every minute in this matters. What a storm!

I guess I'm not far behind. For now, still snowing really good.

I'm in it now (not even the heaviest part, unless that's sleet) and it's really coming down.

I can't believe how heavily it's snowing right now here

8" here with the heaviest snow of the day (by far) falling now. Don't care when the sleet moves in, this has already exceeded my expectations.

Dry slot in southern Jersey filling in some. Over 7" here and snowing nicely (though somewhat lighter than before and it looks like we're in a bit of a subsidence zone but should get out of it pretty soon).

That dryslot in southern NJ bugs me, I'm more concerned about that now than the mixing line. Either way, this storm has been amazing with 6" OTG and heavy snow continuing.

It usually moves in waves. Advances north, gets beaten back a bit, then surges north quicker and further north.

Cape May up to 30 degrees, parts of the Jersey shore will likely go above freezing as they have unfavorable winds off the ocean. For us, the coastal (or partial coastal if you wish, since the primary remains predominant for a while) keeps enough of a northerly component to the wind to save us. 14 degrees here and moderate snow. Eyeballing 3-4 inches.

I can't believe how cold surface temps are still around the area.

11 degrees and snowing in Central Park, not something you see often. 13 degrees with light snow falling here.

Next frame. RAP and HRRR have been getting warmer all day (not every run, but definitely overall throughout the day)

16 degrees in Central Park with a DP of -13. Models show the column saturating relatively quickly once the precipitation moves in, but some virga is to be expected.

It's possible. Very often in storms like this models underforecast the low level cold initially, but later in the forecast period the opposite is actually true. I've seen the city be stuck in the 20s all day in SWFE events despite models having it higher, then jump to the 40s or even higher towards the tail end when the dry slot approaches and/or the primary cutting north and west of us. With that said, the wind direction here argues against that. Maybe if coastal moves so far north that it actually bisects LI.

Yeah, that's what I mean, not piles in a parking lot.

Staten Island (I should really update that). I have about 300-400' elevation and don't get nearly the foot or car traffic I had in Brooklyn and it makes a big difference. I'll take and post a pic in a minute

I still have surprisingly decent snow coverage here, so technically this counts as the fabled snow on snow people north of me always talk about.

I was in Belleayre last Wednesday and conditions were already excellent, it's going to be beyond epic this week. I'm pretty much out of vacation days, but can always get sick

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