January 2016 as well (for some), but from an entirely different angle. Point is that significant changes can still happen with this lead time, though it obviously doesn't mean it will or that it won't get worse.
Holds back way too much energy, you'll never get the flow to buckle like that. It's a bad look verbatim, but there's an eternity left for improvements.
A note of caution about the ICON, it shows anything with below freezing surface temperatures as snow (and vice versa) so it wouldn't show sleet or ice.
06Z Euro looks a bit better, has snow at hour 90 for SC and everything looks a touch east. It's hard to extrapolate from there as many models look good at that point and then take a sharp turn N or NW. We'll see what the EPS does.
There are many individual members that are near the benchmark. As a mean, it's almost comically different than the OP, it's unusual to such a large difference.
The irony is that models usually do the opposite when we want an offshore storm to move West, they chase the convection to the east and collapse the best dynamics there.