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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. Jumped back up to over 6' after falling to about 4.5' a few minutes ago.
  2. Winds picking up there as well after a brief lull, the same gauge now shows gusts over 70 mph. Not sure why the surge drained out so suddenly.
  3. North Port has been getting walloped by the northern eyewall for hours now, looks like a fairly sizeable city too (relatively to the intercostal ones like Englewood).
  4. And for areas just S and SW who have been in a lull, the backside winds still look fairly potent.
  5. Wow, that last drop shows how strong the western part still is.
  6. Eye still looks great on radar, and still plenty of lightning too.
  7. Good for them. I obviously don't wish anyone harm, but as a weather enthusiast I want to see the most beautiful storm possible.
  8. IR presentation looks a hair better now than an hour ago, the eye is still filled in but looks a bit more symmetrical, though it might not fully clear out on visible.
  9. We can pretend to be grateful about the eastern eyewall being incomplete on the main thread, but my inner weenie wants that eyewall fully encircled by stronger returns so badly.
  10. Would likely help a bit. SE and E side continue to show structural issues on radar. Hopefully it stays that way.
  11. If those stronger returns wrap into the eastern side of the eye, it'll probably become a bit more symmetrical (in regards to winds in all quadrants).
  12. Shouldn't be long now, unless it gets disrupted again of course.
  13. Sorry, looked at the wrong thing. Recon also shows the double wind maxima.
  14. Pressure is quite a bit higher now as per recon, likely the EWRC doing a number on Ian (for the time being). Edit; looked at the wrong one. Extrapolated pressure on that first pass is 946.6 mb.
  15. These feeder bands really pack a punch, for a hurricane this is an impressive couplet (with a very pronounced deris signature as well).
  16. It is, it's meant to convey the average error historically by the NHC (so it's a moving average, and not at all based on how confident they are with the current forecast). Based on the speed and trajectory of a storm, it can sometimes look like it's a different spread, but it's always the same.
  17. Models tend to overestimate the extent of winds west of a hybrid or subtropical storm, but in this case there will be a very strong pressure gradient between Fiona and a high pressure over the eastern US so it might enhance it a bit. Even right now, recon is finding the strongest winds south and east of the center, while the NW quadrant isn't overly impressive. However, the eastern side has an INSANELY large and strong windfield as per recon. We'll see how it plays out, but the more impressive winds will likely be over Prince Edward Island and Cape Breton (and of course Sable Island).
  18. While Fiona is a bit more lopsided now as it begins its transition to extratropical, winds are still very impressive on the SE side. Recon flight found 140 KT flight level winds and 110 at the surface.
  19. Looks a bit more symmetrical now and the eye is less ragged.
  20. Tornado warning for northern Indiana also mentions 80 mph winds. It's odd that they didn't accompany it with a severe thunderstorm warning as well. Either way, rotation seems to be tightening a bit.
  21. Confirmed tornado on this one. Hard to tell what to make of this velocity scan, the inflow and outflow look a bit disproportionate.
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