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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    At this point they have to, maybe they're waiting for the 12Z suite to finish but I'm sure a rather big area will be added to the watch very soon.
  2. mob1
    Didn't mean it's similar in terms of temps, just that many people pointed this out as a concern with the last storm but were told there's no way it'll be an issue. Weather changes fast, what was true yesterday isn't necessarily true today and it's very likely that many here will get sleet now. If we can still piece together 3-4" of mixed frozen precipitation here, of course I'll be happy! I just don't understand why it's a crime to point out the obvious.
  3. mob1
    Canadian definitely cut back but is still decent enough I guess (if you temper expectations). My guess for now is 2-5" for me
  4. mob1
    This is like a carbon copy of you disregarding BL temps in the last storm (though I personally didn't have that issue - many, yourself included, did). Trends are bad for us, mixing is pretty much guaranteed now. I don't control the weather, just saying what models and trends are indicating. Merry Christmas!
  5. mob1
    LHV should do very well
  6. mob1
    I'm at 7.2" so double digits in December would be awesome. Central Park should still pull 4-5 but we'll see how things trend over the next few cycles.
  7. mob1
    Crazy swings
  8. mob1
    ICON and RGEM with minor shifts NE, I'd love to see future runs reverse that by a bit.
  9. mob1
  10. mob1
    Yeah, it's pretty much always the case.
  11. mob1
    You're so far from any level being even remotely close to freezing
  12. mob1
    3K NAM shift
  13. mob1
    I kind of like sleet, has some serious staying power (not that it matters much this time, there's a driving rainstorm just a few days later). 3K with a solid shift south as well
  14. mob1
    Pretty decent shift south on the NAM
  15. mob1
    Was it maybe February 2010? That was an insane storm with NYC getting 20" of snow but it was pouring in upstate NY just east of the Catskills. I went to Belleayre that week and they got 63 inches or so (I think Plattekill topped 6 feet).
  16. mob1
    HRRR moved north from 06Z but is still amazing verbatim
  17. mob1
    Through 40
  18. mob1
    I secretly hope we get no snow on Friday just because of how annoying Anthony gets every time someone rightly points out a cause for concern. Just spreading some Holiday joy
  19. mob1
    Yep
  20. mob1
    It's still acceptable verbatim for most (though not all), but trends are very concerning. It's not just the placement of the low, the block shifted a bit east, allowing the HP to escape a bit more NE and the primary low gets further NE before sliding SE. Still time to course correct, but these are the type of things that fundamentally change the whole setup.
  21. mob1
    RGEM got a bit warmer as well
  22. mob1
    18Z for reference
  23. mob1
    Looks incredible verbatim but it also shifted significantly north from its previous run.
  24. mob1
    Getting d'MAN Let's see what the rest of the 0Z suite shows.
  25. mob1
    I'll be in Killington on Sunday, which would take away some of the sting if this verifies.
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