mob1

Decent couplet on the cell near Mineral Wells TX. Solid radar presentation as well.

Really underwhelming so far, we'll see if this'll turn into a nocturnal event.

Based on current observations, the northern extent of true surfaced-based severe weather should extend roughly on a line from St Louis east/northeast ward. HRRR has the southern portion lit up with discrete cells before going linear.

New outlook nudged things a bit south

I wonder if the threat moves even further south based on where the current precipitation and outflow boundary is.

https://x.com/NickKrasz_Wx/status/2047770770005529075?s=20

Thanks for opening a thread for this, some of the soundings for Monday look pretty wild. Obviously every severe weather threat has many failure modes, but the potential is definitely there for a high-end event.

Since there's no active severe thread in the other subforum I'll just it here. PDS warned storm approaching Braman OK.

Confirmed tornado just south of Janesville. Possibly twin tornadoes.

That cell just north of Black River Falls is likely about to drop something (if it hasn't already).

That's a pretty impressive hail core on this cell.

At this point pretty much everyone expect for the most dedicated snow weenies are fine with it.

They still had great radar returns at 7 but we all know they'll only record what they got up to that point.

The JFK one should be incomplete as well as they got more after 2 (the last band rotted over them for a a bit).

Thanks! Wonder if Boston can make it to 20, Logan was at 17 or so at 7 pm and they have a nice band over them (mostly east of the city proper now but I believe that's where the airport is).