Blizzard-on-GFS
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Everything posted by Blizzard-on-GFS
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FAKE I reverse image searched it. Its from OK- 487 replies
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Dang someone is spicy today, Same things we always talk about with weather… model output parameters, timing, forecasts etc. Not sure why everyone is freaking out over 1-2” of rain when we could have a banner tornado outbreak today. I think from I-95 south east the rain is going to be a major fail today. NW of there is fair game for the heavy rain totals
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How is no one talking about the tornado threat? Parameters are through the roof
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That’s such a nasty hail signature!
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Yes I am in beach haven west and believe a weak tornado passed over my house. I watched day burst of windo launch my lawn furniture into my fence.
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Thing is massive on radar. I’d be legit concerned in those areas. Who knows if it will hold together by landfall though.
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Is this a massive waterspout off of Brick? Velocity radar seems to indicate so… IMG_2499.mov
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I believe a funnel cloud just passed over my yard in Beach Haven West. It was calm and the sudden woosh of air came in and launched my table and chairs off my porch and into the fence. I was watching this cell on radar and it appeared to have a couplet to my untrained eye. Could a Met chime and and see if they agree?
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Appears to be lots of rotation in these cells east of Stafford Township. I expect to see the Tornado Warning to be issued further north again as it has been moving up the coast all night. There should have been a watch issued.
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I'm surprised more people aren't talking about the TOR threat for NJ and NYC tomorrow night. I'm almost certain a TOR watch will be hoisted tomorrow night.
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I like my location in Manahawkin NJ to do well here. Expecting 3-6" of fluff. I feel like wherever the banding sets up in these types of events tends to overperform. NWS in agreement. I'm just happy to have an all snow event for the first time all year.
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For the first time all day Bordentown is in a good band. Its an weird random band but its back building and I’m happy lol. Whatever it takes!
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WSW just issued for an additional 3-6”. I’ll take it. That would put my total in the 8-12” range.
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Wow radar just filled in nicely for the Philly to Trenton areas! Snowing pretty hard here now in Bordentown. I’ve got a little more hope we can pick up some more accumulation. HRR is spitting out an additional 3-6” which I would be more than happy with.
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Why is the NAM showing another foot for our area? I don’t trust the models anymore. Did it initialize wrong?
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Wow this gonna be a top 3 bust all time for my location near Trenton. At least I’ve learned NEVER to trust a 10-1 snow map again. I looked at the snow depth maps last night and they had this writing on the wall but I didn’t see anyone on these forums posting the maps. If there’s a warm layer nearby it will find a way to muck things up. Also, Miller Bs rarely work out for I-95 and east. And lately, if your on the border of a dry slot, expand the dry slot because subsidence will make areas on the edge lose out every time.
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Literally we got pretty much zero snow from the coastal. This is a top 3 all time bust for my area. 0z runs last night showed a consensus 12-24” additional and we are gonna end up with 1-3” more at most. We might be done already. Feels bad man...
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Lol my 5” in Trenton?! What an epic bust this storm was.
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Yes man, I woke up late today and looked at the radar and immediately said wow holy crap this thing busted. I looked at the radar and got sick, you can tell that that banding is going to pivot north west of us. This will be year three without a good storm, it’s amazing how every time we have a set up at somehow collapses at the last moment...
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HRRR is completely and utterly lost on this one. Just look at the radar sim. It has no CCB and precipitation field to the west of the low. Not gonna happen, it's an extreme outlier. Even the other mesos whole disagree.
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Interesting to see a more north to south cutoff on the jackpot zone emerging compared to the Northeasterly cutoff earlier. Makes sense with a Miller B to see this though.
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I didn’t expect this to be a hugger thorough. But yeah I’d like an all snow event for once, it will be close
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It wasn’t expected, we were all snow on nearly all models till recently.
