Right at the shoreline it’ll likely be a 31-32 deg fz rain deal, which certainly doesn’t spell disaster. In the 12 years I e been here I’ve never seen much more than a glaze to maybe 0.1”. I could see it being a bigger deal back W, the I-91/15 corridor and up to about 84 as you say. The Q River valley does a remarkably good job funneling down cold air towards HVN/BDR if the wind direction is right.