Meh that blink is like a tenth of precip lol. Noise really. Wolfie if there's gonna be a big dog it's the 6th 7th woo that looks ripe. Just need it to hug a little more. Watch 850 east flow close
There is an AI model.running
https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/graphcast_medium-mslp-wind850?base_time=202311301200&projection=opencharts_europe&valid_time=202311301800
To me personally the basic upper air and mid levels modeling has suffered under 96 hrs. I attribute a lot to the super fine tuning. Hard to use model bias now because the bias runs so may ways.