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Ginx snewx

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Everything posted by Ginx snewx

  1. There is actually 3 lows a 988 up the Hudson to a 982 over me to a meso 969 tropical low over the Atlantic . Its actually a less wind threat to you.
  2. Euro is concerning. Wonder also if we see quick surge on the south coast and up Narry bay
  3. I am more concerned with MCS development bringing down high winds. Anyone with an idea what the quickest fall Baro drop is?
  4. Thursday morning before the NW winds howl will be an epic surf day
  5. Interesting stuff, in Oct 17 right at the dry slot literally minutes before the winds died a sudden burst of very high winds took down dozens of trees in my hood. Up until that time I had power. Was pretty cool to watch it happen on radar, satellite and in person. The roar was impressive
  6. -4.6 850 wind, -4.2 MSLP, -4.0 surface wind on NAEFS ens from last night.
  7. Just a guess right now. But as always coasts are ripe for the biggest gusts
  8. Couple of caveats to wind. Gravity waves and monsoon rains can tap and wash out inversions to the point damaging winds can occur. Trees are leaved and many are dead, lowering wind speed potential for damage. Still early on the wind dept. Sucks BOX radar decided to go off line, yes decided. OKX velocity is bent right at my location. I used BOX during high wind events and it works great here. We wait
  9. Looking at some things right now but since this is overnight tomorrow I will wait for tomorrows runs before having to get help to pull my genny out of the shed. Oct 17 keeps dancing in my head though.
  10. Since it looks like we set low barometric pressures in the area for October probably uncharted territory for deepening rate in Oct too, hard to find analogs
  11. Just because many don't have access . Mslp. No conjecture about wind. Just showing model timing and track.
  12. Nah, not at the 12 hr before kickoff run. 25 to 30% works here.
  13. He said in that tweet, thunder storm winds in the negative trough. I know Forky can't read but et tu?
  14. We take 25% off. What makes me a little unsettled for gusts higher than 40 are how the mesolows fuji around each other on the Euro. Those dry slot gravity waves took us out before too. Just checked with Fisher, baro low record in Oct in Boston is 982, good possibility this takes it down. Dont think this has enough spatial time to ramp up huge areal area winds but if as modeled depict, some areas could be in for a good blow
  15. 990 to 976 in 6 hours. Wow. Deluge with 35 to 40 mph winds gusts to 60 on the coast.
  16. IDK wind and rain on the Cape were impressive less than those crazy runs for sure . 50 miles off. I don't even take verbatim outputs until 18 hrs ahead. Winter especially. No sense getting worked up. We post maps and outputs to generate discussion. Naysayers and doomsayers fail all the time. Best to watch closely trends and of course the actual weather. Just dismissing out of hand when viable options are on the table always strikes me as weird. Of course the odds are they will be right but when they are not ..... stay aware
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