Ginx snewx

Nice stretching of the 5H vorticity now even on the GFS which had left behind consolidated energy earlier. This stretching induces lift along a long axis well into cold air. At this early stage I would expect a 3 to 6 snow with the potential for more for the majority of SNE. Some SE coastal areas may be warm at the surface for a while to slow accumulations. Fine tune as time dwindles.

I Was just looking at that 2 day period no further

What is your forecast for this?

Still all in all this is an impressive look, would not take much shifting.

Jerry and its LA rain. There is also an adage that where the ULL enters the West coast it will exit the East like last week.

Euro did an excellent job with temps this morning. 7 here

Yes indeed

Its going to snow where it wants to snow version 2

Nice. Such a sweet spot you are in.

Meh learn somethings

Cool, you can pat your self on the back and beat your chest with a 20 paragraph write up when it doesn't

For you to say it, it must have been good

Yes you highness cuz you are king. Lol congrats, narcissist much? Still doesn't mean you are not confused Meteorologically

You confuse anafront with follow up waves constantly. Yours didn't serve you well Feb 17. Your methodology is confused.

To date

Weeklies agree.

Pretty weak response Ray. History is loaded with waves within days of frontal passage. I realize it's not the barnstorm storms that you seek but to dismiss just cuz is Methodologically unsound

Some look at color maps see rain on one side and snow on the other and define as anafrontal but it’s not this time. Maybe it fails but it wouldn’t be because of Virga or NW drying winds. It would because either the SW failed to materialize or it generated insufficient lift.

It’s not anafrontal as depicted by the strongest Euro and Ggem runs, the frontal boundary is a hundred miles offshore. It’s a SW riding the boundary causing converging air to rise and precipitate. I mean Ocean State wx explained this but several posters just skipped over it. 3 hours ago, OceanStWx said: It's probably too broad a term around here, because you're right there is a difference between cold air trying to undercut the exiting precip and a follow-up wave trying to expand precip back to the NW along a stalled baroclinic zone. The latter is much more likely to produce something you need to shovel than the former.

Do people read? I mean one of the smartest Mets on the board and all.

Tried to explain this is not anafrontal as depicted. UKMET also likes a shortwave to ride up the offshore boundary

Crush job

Beautiful

Bold call, got any others since the odds of two20 inch storms in one year for your area are 1 /100