Ginx snewx

Alaskan people are tough

This would be probably exactly what we want. EPO bump, NAO block, energy diving into the East Coast

Every picture tells a story, don't it

Much better. Much more precip last night and stronger LP

Sorry Gene glad to hear things are getting slowly better

Nice melt

This

The past doesn't predict the future. Many need to remember this in the weather world.

Remember what kicked off our great snow runs in the past. Let's do this

Scenario

Nothing matters until we see the whites of its eyes and then its double tap center mass

EPS is actually a whiff OTS with dynamics

Jan 18

2 years ago dude was a coastal hugger , the Miller A fallacy killer

Will it thread the needle?

Thread the needle would imply it had only one shot are working out. That storm was huge in expanse not some little nuke. IDK but it sure was everything you could want in a blizzard

Thread the needle is the most overused term here. All storms in SNE are thread the needle

Ryan didn't like it from jump, Scooter was worried about LP north of Quebec, Kevin had it OTS. Messenger and I were gung ho and took a beating for insisting that dynamics would be crazy.

All I know is all we heard was thread the needle, no blocking,fast mover la di da di da. Until it wasn't

March 2018

It's always Sunny apparently forgot

Um March 18

Happy 5th anniversary Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Taunton Massachusetts 456 am EST sun Jan 25 2015 Long term /Monday night through Saturday/... highlights... * major to potentially historic winter storm Monday night into Tuesday night * blizzard watch eastern Massachusetts/Rhode Island * 1 to 2 feet of snow for many areas - locally higher amts possible * damaging winds possible coast especially cape/islands - gusts 60 to 70 miles per hour * significant coastal flooding possible along the eastern Massachusetts coast Details... This is pretty much a text book case for a major winter storm/blizzard in southern New England. Potent shortwave dives southeast closes off south of Long Island as low pressure bombs out and tracks up the New England coast. The highly amplified pattern will allow for a slow moving/long duration storm. In addition...high pressure across eastern Canada will supply plenty of cold air for the storm to work with so ptype will probably only be a concern for the far southeast New England coast. We are now quite confident that this will be a major winter storm and it has the potential to become historic for some locations. Will break down the various hazards in the next view paragraphs. 1) heavy snow/blizzard conditions/wind and ptype The middle level low/S are closing off just south of southern New England Monday night and Tuesday. That will probably put US near ground zero for the heaviest snow. The models are in very good agreement in showing 1 to 2 feet of snow for much of the region. Of course there may be areas that exceed 2 feet where localized banding sets up...but its too early to worry about that. Very strong pressure gradient with 1035 mb high over eastern Canada and bombing surface low will likely result in strong to damaging northeast wind gusts of 45 to 60 miles per hour across eastern MA/RI. Gusts between 60 to 70 miles per hour expected across the cape/islands! Will issue a blizzard watch for much of eastern Massachusetts/Rhode Island for 1 to 2 feet of snow and 40 to 60 miles per hour wind gusts. This looks to be a serious winter storm and travel will likely become extremely difficult to impossible with near zero visibility. Considerable blowing and drifting snow also expected. Across central and western Massachusetts/northern CT have issued a Winter Storm Watch for 12 to 24 inches of snow. Its possible we may have to upgrade some of that region to a blizzard watch/warning...but was uncertain how much wind would mix down across that region and its still a late 4th and 5th period event. We are also leaning towards the western envelope of solutions at this time led the consistent European model (ecmwf). If the storm trends east a bit...we may be overdone with our snow accumulations across our western zones so something for later shifts to watch. The cape and islands present the most challenging forecast. Depending on exact track of the storm...portions of the region may mix with or change to rain for a time. If colder solutions verify there will be blizzard conditions...but if it ends up warmer could be a fair amount of rain. Therefore...will hoist a winter storm and high wind watch. In fact...we like going with the high wind watch here for the potential of 60 to 70 miles per hour winds. This may combine with any wet snow to cause downed trees and power outages. 2) timing: The worst of the storm looks to occur Monday night into Tuesday afternoon. At least snow showers will likely linger Tuesday night as the system becomes vertically stacked and very slow to depart the region. Dry weather should finally work into the region sometime Wednesday morning. 3) narrow swath of damaging wet snow Will have to watch for a narrow swath of heavy wet snow along the southeast New England coast. This could be problematic in terms of downed trees and power outages...especially given the strong winds. It may be a small area just northwest of the rain/snow line...but could have a significant impact. Wednesday through Saturday... While the storm comes to an end early Wednesday morning and the cleanup begins...we may be dealing with another winter storm later Thursday or Friday. Outlook /Monday night through Thursday/... ***life threatening storm for mariners with seas building to over 25 feet and winds gusts to 60 knots Monday night into tuesday*** Monday night through Tuesday night...moderate to high confidence. Rapidly intensifying low pressure moving across the waters will combine with high pressure across eastern New England. This will result in northeast wind gusts increasing to 50 to 60 knots and building seas to over 25 feet across our eastern waters. Storm watches posted and low probability that we may need hurricane force wind warnings! This is dangerous and life threatening storm and mariners should return to port by Monday afternoon. && Tides/coastal flooding... a significant coastal flood event is possible along the eastern Massachusetts coast during the early Tuesday morning and late Tuesday afternoon high tide cycle. Northeast wind gusts between 45 and 60 knots will seas building to over 25 feet across our eastern outer waters. Astronomical high tide is 10.5 feet in Boston on Tuesday at 430 am. The potential for a 3+ foot storm surge may result in moderate to isolated pockets of major coastal flooding. Another high tide will have to watch closely occurs late Tuesday afternoon/early evening since seas will be built up. In addition...significant beach erosion is possible. A coastal Flood Watch has been issued for eastern Massachusetts including Cape Cod and Nantucket.

The GFS is a friggin laughingstock ,6 hrs I mean just run it for 4 days,save the computing power. Or Toss it in the trash and just run GEFS

Fuk it I am going to start a thread for the Super Bowl Blizzard, or not. I can Ginx a thread better than anyone. Seriously though ears perked up tonight for the SB superstorm