Every extreme event we have had was underplayed from Oct 12 to Feb 13 to Harvey in Texas, Pete Repete. Its time to take the extreme model forecasts 3 days out seriously and plan accordingly. If they don’t pan out, oh well but if they do we are all prepared. Modeling does well when the extreme out of Climo events happen. That is why I suggested that IDA be hit hard as a tropical entity. People listen as they have been trained to the word tropical. Scientific semantics ruins impact statements