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Ginx snewx

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Everything posted by Ginx snewx

  1. Love these people who make definitive statements about the future when they will be dead
  2. I will be lucky to get a couple tenths of precip lol. Nice little dumper for the ski areas.
  3. I was just looking at the WRF. Sometimes a key is these meso models handling of the cold.
  4. Some day you will get one like this . Alpine Meadows tonight
  5. Euro 18Z individuals members are pretty interesting. A cold air infusion. Pretty neat evolution
  6. Ok thanks just looked at my hood 564 crossed my casa but is north of me at 18Z by 5 miles. Still 4 days out so we track
  7. Aren't 5h heights lower here meaning critical thickness should be lower?
  8. Colder at 850 by about 30 miles south. Edit pretty much the same
  9. Deal with it, Cosgrove Beware of warmer, calmer forecasts this week and next. I make this remark because many of the numerical models cannot correctly figure what will happen in situations where stronger high-latitude blocking ridges exist, concurrently with an equally impressive subtropical jet stream. The evolution of a Bering Sea and Greenland/Iceland couplet ridging is well underway. Positive height anomalies in those positions favor the formation of cold 500MB vortices in Alberta and below Newfoundland. The USA result is that colder than normal temperatures are probable in all but Texas and the Dixie states. Climatology for this type of event allows for stronger cold frontal passages through the Midwest and the Eastern Seaboard above Interstate 40. With the active southern branch adding energy, there can be phased events off of the Mid-Atlantic shoreline. Much like what the GGEM panels show December 20-22. Not only is there the chance for a rogue snow event then (along and west of the major cities), but warm-ups will be hard to maintain. I suspect that another risk for an important precipitation event may occur between Christmas and New Year's. That cold pool setting up east of Sable Island NS creates a window for redevelopment, which could be especially potent if the subtropical jet stream energy joins in the fray. Be very careful when handling cold air and storm transitions over the next two or three weeks. Note that the heat ridge complex in the Gulf of Mexico and Florida gets suppressed after this week!
  10. You can just see on the Euro how low dense dry air sinks south as the wave of LP develops in the Tenn Ohio Valley and sets up a boundary for it to ride on. Nice snowstorm on the Euro inside day 5. Lots of time to ponder
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