Unless of course we end up with a UKMET solution or like many members of the GEFS EPS. Your statement is pretty concrete 5 days out. Absolutely could be right but throwing in the towel day 5 on 75 mile shifts?. IDK
You saw the 6Z mean and the EPS precip maps I posted does that look way west up the Hudson Valley to you? Today at day 5 I am sticking with Jan climo , over the Cape