This is sick. They literally have no where to put it and Wow.
QPF: Precipitation totals are only continuing on their upward trend
with newest guidance. Recent guidance suggests 6-8" of QPF along the
Sierra crest, 3-5" in Sierra communities, 1-2" for far western
Nevada communities, and 0.25-0.5" for the west-central Basin & Range.
SNOW LEVELS: And now to the lowest confidence factor in this
storm... snow levels! There is high confidence that this storm will
be warmer due to the strong jet providing warm, southwesterly flow
from the subtropics. The current, most likely forecast still
indicates snow levels rapidly increasing overnight to around 8000-
8500' at the onset of heaviest precipitation overnight Thursday.
Snow levels look to remain high through late morning Friday, before
a colder upper-level low swings by to our north and surges cooler
southward through Friday afternoon. Snow levels will then hover
between 6000-7000' through Saturday. With that said, there are a few
caveats to this forecast due to the potential for a deep isothermal
layer for a short period late Thursday into early Friday morning
as indicated by model soundings. This could drop snow levels
1000-2000' lower than forecast early in the event.
Sunday onward:
After the weekend AR, the door remains open to additional warm,
moisture-rich Pacific storms. Confidence continues to increase for
another AR arriving as early as Monday, which could exacerbate snow
load and flooding issues. Stay prepared and tuned to the forecast as
more details come into focus on this next storm. -Whitlam