Ginx snewx

2 minutes ago, Wxbear25 said:

If you’re looking at the jet, probably want to look a little higher, like 300 or 250mb. The GEFS puts other low off the coast pretty much directly in a textbook spot, left exit of the jet where diffluence is maximized

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

IDK not everything is trending se:

I would hit that 

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

No, That's why i think what were looking at so far is wrong, But where does eventually end up is the question.

My limited training and knowledge says this is where initiation should start. Up tight to the coast 

OTS with Boston to PVD to Montauk smoked?  Seems like it 4 to 15 west to east type 

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think you will find a stronger vortmax is going to dig south too, It probably would not hurt if we could start the process a bit north and west of where it is now to tilt the trough more negative sooner.

Never seen a closed 518 ULL in SC before you? 

48 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Odd...low is a tick se of the BM, yet hardly any precip across the interior.

7h looks saturated. 850 dry. My ignorance but death band should be much farther inland? 

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Icon is Igone 

Gonna name this the Bryce storm. This has you written all over it. 

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right, but he was agreeing with me, so that's why I replied. No biggie.

Modeling struggles with depth of cold and Baroclinic processes. Putting a 518 abreast the gulf stream in SC is as rare as it gets. That stall is not real.

20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s not how this works unfortunately. You see, when the Pope hates a set up, and tells everybody that it will never work etc etc..like he just did with this past one, that’s when we get the storm.  When he’s pumped like he is now, it’s pretty much a gonner.  We’ve even it many times sadly.  
 

So the only plus we have going right now, is that it’s still 5 days away.  But the pope being giddy is a bad sign for sure.  But maybe he proves his track record wrong(finds the nut) with this one.  But it’s not a good sign at all. 

Tip started the thread.  Death Knoll. (Insert Psycho babble response) j/k John 

38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wasn't talking about Miller A systems in general...I was referencing 1 4 2018.

I was responding to Donnie 2 states.

37 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Couldn’t agree more. 

Unless you were in CT? We definitely benefit being south. These Miller A s death bands in occluded  situations like to set up across Southern SNE see 12/21/09

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

no lol, if you reported 20 and were just at 19 when the radar looks like that. i just meant its basically done

19.75

28 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

 

It was real and it was spectacular 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Slam band 

Will this satiate you for a couple years 

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

2 inches new in this stuff now….20 burger achieved. 
 

Hope I can squeeze out another .25 lol

24 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Beautiful out there.did have some of this high ratio stuff early yesterday AM.

All over now here 2.75 new so 19.75 I cleaned the deck railing this afternoon. 

NESIS 4?

18 states with a foot or more plus ice

15 minutes ago, JACKASS said:

Why must people post while on the John?!!!

For shits and giggles 

Dumping again 

3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

17.0 Moosup 

18.5 still snowing 

Nice quick 1.5 of Jspin 40 to 1 ULL magic 

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Holy shit!

drops to 963mb!!! 6hrs later

https://youtu.be/j3NcOLieEIo?si=Qw14vy2Sf3HfcHs9

30 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Sorry not fresh, but wanted to add to thread for legacy / archival purposes... I thought this was a nice bit from the Box AFD last night detailing the storm.

I'm still not sure why snowgrowth wasn't as good as many (including this AFD) expected... but with Cocorahs having generally 1.4-1.7 qpf / snow totals 15-20" (@Ginx snewx's call all week) with areas 20"+ in the expected north shore and Worcester hills... seems like SLRs ~10-12:1? Still achieved 1-1.5" / hr rates for almost entire durati

Thanks for the Tip O' Cap

Next up?? Tough decision but forecast amounts by Wednesday 

32 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Did the neighbors ever pick up that Giants trash or is it hopefully buried until Mayorch?

FYP

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think I briefly had that last night when the OE resided. Car had a slight glaze.

Went out with my cane on the deck yep frzn. Snowing again