Ginx snewx

Lots of hail Hopkinton RI

24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

These shelf clouds seem like a very common occurrence if that is one…?  What makes a shelf cloud, a shelf cloud? 

It is created when cool, sinking air from a storm's downdraft spreads out and forces warm, moist air ahead of it to rise, cool, and condense

Big boomers heavy rain 

Mini shelf cloud headed towards work in Danielson 

Destructive sunshine storms!

Nice day with cumulus

EPS is very chilly. Maybe 1 day of of warmth. 50s next 10 days Euro agree GFS not much better All told we probably squeeze out a couple nice days but temps will struggle with destructive sunshine. Huge pattern change 

2 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

No kidding, sitting with the family in the adirondack chairs overlooking the ocean at the Windjammer yesterday.  Decent crowd for April on the beach. 

  

Love me some Windjammer food. View ain't bad either 

Wow beautiful summer week. It was all a dream for a long time 

15 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s a significant -NAO in late April which will yield AN in a chunk of our subforum. 
 

The guidance is still catching on to the phase shift. You can see it coming into focus on the ECAIFS.  Pull it forward.
 

MJO Phase 1 has highest correlation and significance for AN this time of year. 
 

Good luck with that 

Downtown Moosup church hit by lightning last night 

Very chilly fishing day.1 -2lb Brown trout.

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

We grow here now. Frost and freezes are done. Thank you spring and CC!

CC? Good luck with that after this week. 

Euro weeklies ignored but Euro 8 month super el Nino accepted, and ACATT has an agenda? 

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yup. They’re straight trash . Indicies mean Jack dick once out of Winter 

Weeklies have 4 weeks in a row BN starting the 20th following the Neg Nao theme with well below normal heights for New England 

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Aside from the fact, the critique is misplaced.   We in the Met and Climate community, who are not assholes and/or just fucking morons, already are aware that the oceans have absorbed 90+% of the warming that began actually since the Industrial Revolution. The oceans are intrinsic as a heat sink and modulator.   Therefore, representing these warming(cooling ) graphics, respectively, already has that consideration embedded geo-physically.  

 

We all know the earth is warming. No shit. Point being since 1995 combined with ocean its slower than what you posted I can manipulate data too Tip. Why the random 1950 to 2020? Let's be real  you were looking for maximum effect in your post. I am one of the few who actually read your soliloquy daily, as you noted to Wiz earlier. Its not the first time you post random maps with no explanation 

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I did not use it incorrectly.

Those are the straight up global anomalies, using an expanded data set because in scientific principle, denser sample sizes are better - when also stretched out over the longer term, exposes trends that have more confidence.

UNLIKE what you are providing in your poorly thought out rebuke, using scanter sizes. 

Ocean temps don't matter I guess. 

54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

2007-2016? 

Ssts are 07 to 16 earth temps are 95 to 2025

45 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Why would that be better than going from 1950 onward like Tip’s original post?

41 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

It wouldn't 

Because sst datasets start in 2002 . Saying how much the earth warmed should include the ocean 

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Thanks!! I feel like I had this site bookmarked at one point but probably lost it when something happened with my bookmarks. Curious if they will roll over to ERSSTv6 at some point

They have v6 and v7 options 

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Thanks!! I feel like I had this site bookmarked at one point but probably lost it when something happened with my bookmarks. Curious if they will roll over to ERSSTv6 at some point

Notice when you combine land and sea anomalies and use a 1995 to 2025 climo base Tips anomaly for March drops from .9 to .04. Data use is important but data can be sometimes not used correctly 

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Wow, I totally missed that. I'll have to read some more into it. I wonder if this CORe is just a more improved dataset?

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/

Just now, weatherwiz said:

was going to try and create a composite comparing March to 1971-2000, 1981-2010, and 1991-2020 climo but March 2026 not available yet on the reanalysis page. Also just found out that NCEP/NCAR R1 is being discontinued

11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Welp ... I was wrong about March when it comes to predicting the product result, below.  I had presumed recently that we'd result a more obvious local geographic ( 'local' relative to the whole world) cool zone/island anomaly relative to the whole "inferno" that is clearly and coherently, unarguably the product's character below... eh hm.  Said island had been a persistent leitmotif since late last autumn... 

Still, you know, it really didn't sensibly come off that way?  I recall seeing March colder than the whole country - in fairness I think what is actually going on is that this product below is the "anomaly".  What we experience was a warm anomaly, but just not as demonstrative or obviously so as everywhere else... SO, in that vein and sense it might still qualify.  hmm  'Sides,   I've been quite right about every other month since October...so, meh.  That's a decent grade in anticipating these temperature layouts, nonetheless.   Also, having that impressively deep cold garland lording over top the Canadian Shield while there's a quasar spanning the conterminous U.S., definitely helps explain why we've been getting these wild 40 to as much as 50+ F air mass whiplashes, too.

Anyway, here is the tabulation and mean for March provided by https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/

Versus 1951 to 2020 who picked these random years

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No one watches or cares about the women 

Sacrilege