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Ginx snewx

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Posts posted by Ginx snewx

  1. 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    I don't know if "spoiled" is appropriate.....if you have received that amount frequently enough to be perceived as "spoiled", then it's inherently not very anomalous, so why would it be memorable?

    You know the odds for a 12 inch storm and say its not anomalous for 15? Just can’t 

  2. 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Oh yeah, I understand it. That’s why I posted it.

    It is still irrational behavior in an objective/scientific context but I understand why people get panicky about not seeing blizzards on 300 hour OP runs. The lack of success in the KU department recently causes irrational behavior to manifest itself in that manner.
     

    I also think the utter glut of storms in the 2010s also produced irrational behavior in terms of expectations. We expected every shortwave to bomb out and give us 8-12” if not something bigger….and for a while, we kept pulling the slot level and ringing up triple 7s. It’s gone the complete opposite direction now but both outcomes are unsustainable.  

    Like saying 15 inches isn't memorable.  Spoiled generation

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  3. 30 minutes ago, dendrite said:

    Yeah I forgot to put mine out after melting down the inch of snow the other day. I got it out there at 1230am after it had already started pouring. 

    It hasn’t budged from 32.3-32.4 here for over an hour. The gutters froze up so I have water pouring over them and water getting into parts of the basement.

    Hopefully we can get into the upper 30s for a bit so the driveway can melt out otherwise it’ll be unwalkable for awhile.

    WTTY

  4. 1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

    “Pattern shift….”:rolleyes: 
     

    Careful what you wish for. 

     

    There’s some naive optimism in seeing less mid level troughiness on the west coast but this is not without losing cold anoms in Canada. After first few days of January risk is tilted warm, even in the northeast. There’s some indications also, that the MJO makes a pass to 4/5/6 which are all warm phases for Jan. 
     

    Pattern looks like trash around hr240 on the ensembles.

     

    Deluded to be getting excited for big snow from day 9ish on..

    Ya ok. You told us the clipper was a Miller B 

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  5. 2 hours ago, dendrite said:

    Yeah I agree with both of you. I think Gene may get more prolonged icing than most given his elevation up at Newfound, but this won’t be anything historical. I doubt there’s much accretion after early/mid Monday morning so 1/3-1/2” QPF won’t be a big deal outage/damage wise…although the Monday AM commute will probably be a disaster.

    More and more mesos printing out over 1 inch of qpf in sub freezing temps in your area.

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