CTP has this for my point forecast for what it's worth. Subject to change of course...
M.L.King Day
A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thanks. That's kind of what I gathered from reading the posts. I'm working, so I don't have time to look at models at all. Just enough time while I'm loading to read the thoughts here. Plus, trying to do model maps on a phone kind of sucks...lol
While I was perusing Facebook a few minutes ago, I saw a Mt Holly post about the cold, the upcoming moderation, and then they mentioned the Sunday/Monday event, so even they see the potential.
Impressive video for the snow rates, but the guy shooting it sucks as a videographer. Hold the damn camera still for a bit and let people actually process the scene. All he did was keep turning circles, which was very annoying.
Yes...100% yes.
Personally, I think the forums should all have region specific moderators whom are knowledgeable about the weather and the geographical area, live in the region, are frequent contributors, and are generally respected by the members.
As for temps, it's the same here. We never got up to the 35 that was forecasted. My high so far is my current 31, so maybe we don't go over 32 at all. Can't wait to see what my Tower City loading location is going to be like tomorrow morning.
Having a pro met who's willing to post his thoughts on a public message board is an extremely valuable asset for all of us. What you are doing has driven many of them off this board as they (rightfully so I might add) figure it's not worth the effort to post and have to defend themselves from trolls like you.
Mike, I personally want to thank you for all you do here with your thoughts and analysis. It's greatly appreciated!
Exactly.!
I have no idea how it actually works, but it seems at least to be pretty accurate. Surface temp is rising a bit faster than I expected. Up to 29.5 right now.
I forgot about my drone app. It gives a wind and temp profile for flying. As you can see, it's 26 (my wx station says 28) at the surface and doesn't get above 32 until 2,500ft up.
Was quite surprised to see the Ice Storm Warning this morning. There's already a glaze on everything outside that is/wasn't treated. Current temp is 28.2 with light spotty rain at the moment. Radar and future radar indicate that a steadier slug will move in over the next few hours. The big question is are the temps going to hold steady, slowly rise, or quickly rise.
Past experience from my own backyard says that we won't see the high end of CTP's quarter to half inch range, as temps generally get to 33 rather quickly (with a few rare exceptions) here for some reason.
So I'm sitting here, and 15 minutes ago I looked at my station display and the temperature was 19.6 degrees. Fifteen minutes later and I'm up to 22.8 degrees. I was kind of hoping to hold the teens at least until the precipitation started. Still, that was quite a quick jump.
Yes it is. I'm an Eagles fan and my wife is a Cowboys fan. We go back and forth bashing each others team, but it's all in fun, and neither one gets gets angry about it.