Voyager

Normally this post would have me in a near panic attack, but...

Yup. Not sure of a start date yet, though. Most likely next week sometime.

Done...

At 2:45PM Tamaqua hit 90.0 degrees, so that is 20 so far for the coal region.

Missed me by about 2 miles... https://www.fox10phoenix.com/weather/another-round-of-high-winds-rain-and-thunderstorms-for-arizona-live-radar-updates

Storms are moving south, so the answer is............no.

Urban heat island effects would have to be a big part of this. In 30 years Phoenix (the city itself) has grown by over one million people. The metro area at large over 2 million. That's a lot of extra homes, shopping centers concrete, asphalt, stone landscaping, etc. The urban area's geographical growth has been equally impressive as well. Sprawl has moved outward at least 10 to 20 miles farther to the north, south, and west during that same 30 years.

Will we or won't we??? TBD later...lol

Just did my count. So far 19 days were at or above 90 degrees this year in Tamaqua.

I have to do a count again, but my house in Tamaqua sits at 825 ft and I've had no problem cracking 90 this summer. What may have helped my temps is that, even at over 800 ft, I'm in the bottom of a valley, so downsloping may have played a part in it as locations to my north, east, and west are 500+ feet higher than where my house is located.

I don't know. I guess it depends on if those numbers are spread out over many hours, or if it falls in a couple of major bursts.

Sorry for the continued Arizona intrusion, but this kind of event is fairly rare for the low desert Phoenix metro area, and the fact that I'm here to see it is pretty cool... A snippet from the NWS PHX afternoon discussion. Heading into Friday, the upper level low will remain just to the south of the forecast area, continuing to advect a very moist airmass into the area. During the day Friday, PWAT values for south- central Arizona will rise to 2-2.25" with lower values west of the Colorado River. These are exceptionally high values for any time of the year, and are near the 99th percentile of the NAEFS climatology. Meanwhile, a trough will develop northwest of the forecast area introducing increased wind shear and diffluence aloft, especially by Saturday morning due to a well positioned jet streak. With strongly forced ascent of a near record breaking moist airmass, widespread moderate to heavy rain is expected to develop during the afternoon Friday and continue at times through Saturday, and possibly into Sunday morning. In terms of timing, the most likely period for heavy rain will be Friday afternoon into Saturday morning for south-central Arizona. A secondary push of heavy rain may develop Saturday evening into Sunday morning for Gila County and potentially Maricopa County as well. WPC QPF totals are impressive, with 0.75"-3" expected for Maricopa, northwest Pinal, and Gila Counties.

Without looking at maps, that sounds Lee-like. We got 3-4 inches of rain, while Pine Grove and points west got double digits.

According to our local news, this is the 16th wettest monsoon since modern records started being used. If you go to NWS PHX and read our forecast discussion, they're very bullish on this upcoming weekend. And it's ridiculously humid today. Currently 97/71 here...

For those who think AZ weather is boring, I give you this. My forecast has 3" of rain on the high end from now through Sunday.

This is HIGHLY unusual for the Phoenix metro area, but as of right now, this upcoming weekend looks soggy... Friday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Saturday Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Saturday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Sunday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

I've come to realize that it's not the Tamaqua Split, it's the VOYAGER SPLIT. Severe storms to my northwest this afternoon weakened and died and reformed over Central and South Phoenix. It's not the location that kills the storms, it's the weather geek that kills 'em.

Sheesh...

What? How?

So I was washing my mom's car this morning, and two wild coyotes were across the street. I didn't see the roadrunner yet, though...lol

Oh, it was 49.1 for the low in Tamaqua this morning, and so far 79.8 here in the desert.

Wherever I am, there the split shall be also...lol It rained nearly everywhere yesterday, except in my backyard region.

And that's no Surprise...

Still a Tamaqua Split I see...