Voyager
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But then....CTP introduced mixing into the Tamaqua forecast for Saturday night. Saturday Night Snow, possibly mixed with rain before 1am, then rain, snow, and freezing rain likely between 1am and 4am, then snow and freezing rain likely after 4am. Low around 29. East wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
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I hope not... Looks like models trended better overnight?
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Probably some kind of computer algorithm that takes temp, dp, compaction, and who knows what else into consideration.
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Tamaqua sits right on the 3-6, 6-10 line.
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That's equally depressing for me as well. Believe me, I don't want that trough out here. I might just see mid 20 lows at my house next week. All those warm western winters, and now that I'm here, it gets cold. Worse, like you said, as depicted, such a deep western trough sets you guys up for cutters. That sucks.
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What's up with that big snow hole over Mahantango's house?
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Yes. One last summer, and many when I previously lived here from 96-01. The big ones are quite an experience.
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Surprisingly, more people here in Phoenix probably know what graupel is, simply because when do manage to get anything frozen out of the sky in winter, it's almost always graupel.
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Yeah, depending region you're probably right. My home in Tamaqua though, we'd get our heaviest burst just before changing over. When I'd see the flake size grow and it would be dumping mad dendrites, I'd tell my wife it was about to flip...and it almost always did.
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Almost everytime I "smelled the rain", within the hour it was indeed raining. Living that close to the changeover can be a real nailbiter. For the lucky few who never see the change, the reward is worth it, though.
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Maybe you should stay out of our thread. Most of us get along quite well and don't mind the off topic (and sometimes off color) banter. We're all friends here, and every one of the regular, long term posters are well respected.
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Oh, and on a side note. I may see some snow in Tucson on Monday morning.
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I can relate to the snow hole as models always predicted a lower total "horseshoe" around Tamaqua no matter which way the storm was coming.
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All I can say from 2,300 miles away is that I'm rooting for you guys. We rain on Wednesday night/Thursday morning. I guess that's your weekend storm. I really hope you all get smoked with this one!
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CTP seems fairly confident for a storm nearly a week away. Of course this is subject to change, but seeing likely and 70% chance this far out is intriguing. For Tamaqua: Saturday Night Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Sunday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Solid...
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It's only January 1st for Christ's sake...
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You guys need to slow down on your posting. You're going to turn this potential snowstorm into a rainstorm...
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What did it show? I don't pay for premium, so I can only see the 0z and 12z runs.
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I don't know if I've ever seen a map with that kind of straight line cutoff that shuts out everyone from Buffalo to Albany to Boston and North. Solid snowstorm for I-80 and south though.
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In all honesty, we aren't going to sniff 70 for quite awhile as a cool regime locks in for awile out here.
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25 to 30 are perfect snow temps. Cold enough to accumulate, but not to cold to go out and enjoy it.
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Not sure.
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I know. I'm legit worried about even flying back for a visit...
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I'm telling you, winter won't return to PA until I do. Wherever I am, there too shall the cold be. Look at last year. Coolest and wettest winter in the southwest in over a decade. And back when I was trucking coast to coast, whatever side of the country I was at was where a trough had set up. When I was in California you were warm and dry and I was cold and rainy/snowy. Then, when I was home, the west was warm and dry, and PA was cold and rainy/snowy. Mother Nature hates me...
