Voyager

Well, since I have to run Hazleton to Allentown tomorrow, I'm ok with a small, manageable event. Side note to that for those who know my employment as a water hauler, I may be switching jobs, if someone will hire me. My dilemma is that due to a partially torn right shoulder rotator cuff, I need to drive an automatic truck, and as of tomorrow, the company is putting me back into a manual, which at the very least will cause a lot of pain, and worse case scenario, will hasten a full rotator cuff tear. So it appears that I'm going to have to move on to an all automatic company if I can.

I still keep thinking about the Blizzard of 96 when 48 hours out we were only supposed to get a 1-3 inch grazing by an OTS fish storm in the Lehigh Valley. We ended up with 26" of windblown fluff, so I suppose anything is possible, even if not likely.

Considering that I'm doing a new to me run, I'm kind of glad now that it might not be much.

Well, this is what CTP put out for Tamaqua in the afternoon forecast package. Not bad for me as the roads "should" generally stay snow free if it's going to be that light. Monday Snow, mainly before 4pm. High near 27. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Wasn't that the storm that absolutely crushed our Williamsport friends?

As if life couldn't get more complicated... Due to driver illness, I got taken off my normal routine and dropped into something I've not done before. That puts me more into an all or nothing mentality. Give me nothing so I can have as hassle free of a day as possible, or blow it out so I can shut it down and do it maybe on Tuesday instead. Anything in between will be a complicated mess...

I just wish the northern edge was up by the NY border instead of I-80ish. As was talked about, the heavier snow might tick northward, but the northern edge would shrink south. It appears that the northern edge is just holding steady or SLIGHTLY retreating south on some of the models. Goal posts tightening?

The 3k NAM is my only hope (as of now) of seeing anything halfway decent out of this...

Only two models that give me anything substantial, and by that I mean 1-2 inches, is the NAM and NAM 3k. All of the others are way south and some even near misses. At this point, unless something significant changes (which I doubt) I'd be happy to not even see a flake and for everything to just stay south of I-81 and I-78. As for next Saturday's chance, meh. I'll believe it when I see it. I'm not going to invest nearly as much emotion into it.

This is exactly how I feel. Plus, for me anyway, I'd rather have no snow at all the to be fringed by getting an inch in a tight gradient.

I really don't believe it. I think the handwriting is on the wall for me. It ain't coming north and I won't see more than possibly an inch or so out of it.

I must be on something for continuing to follow this heartbreak.

For who? I barely get an inch...

Hell of a squall must have traveled southeast from Danville to Reading. The PA511 camera on 222 in Sinking Spring shows a white landscape and traffic is a mess on 80, 81, 78, and around metro Reading at the moment.

If only the CTP high end map would end up being the ground truth come Monday night...

Don't know. Never got here.

Nope. Didn't make it. Started falling apart after crossing the Susquehanna.

It'll be interesting to see if that band can make it past I-81, the squall and thunderstorm killer up my way. AccuWeather future radar kind of says yes, but we'll see.

Don't you mean Tamaqua??? lol

Well, that at least gets my area to 3-6 which I'll take. Of course it all comes down to mother nature herself what actually happens, regardless of what the models show.

Sorry if I'm so cynical, but this is just a bad reminder of the double barreled heartbreak of February 2010 where both blizzards gave Tamaqua 2 and 4 inches respectfully as confluence ate away at the northern extent of the precipitation shield. I sat and watched band after band of heavy snow move north towards me only to get eaten up by the dry air.

Yup

Reading the pbp, I kind of got excited. The I looked at the snowfall map, and the evolution of the precipitation shield, and reality set in.

Just light flurries here in Tamaqua. You have to look pretty hard to even see them.

I don't want to be a negative Nancy (too late, already am) but I just don't see it changing much at this point. It's becoming more and more evident that this is not going to be my storm.