Syrmax

Normally we would blow this off as it's out there in time, but its like... next weekend. Not all that far off. No way this verifies.

Yeah it was when we had ours built...if you have the time to DIY, much less $ but know the regulations first!

This would have been an approach that people could get behind. Granted the MSM will always seek to slay Trump but normal people would have respected that approach. Instead, we got denial, downplaying, blamecasting and then in mid March, begrudging action. (To be fair, the MSM and Dems did downplay the threat in early Jan and when Trump restricted China travel late in January, as a Pavlovian reaction to him). Blustering aside, the biggest fumble was with CDC testing and the Trump Admin not fixing that pronto. There is where we lost a lot of time. Noone, in either party, was going to shutdown the country in February, with very few known cases. Even if CDC hadn't been incompetent, the virus was probably just starting to exponentially spread in late Feb into early March. But we were flying blind.

Going to be real hard to restart sports...because of this type stuff... After three positive tests, three people at 1. FC Köln are now in quarantine. The group training can continue. http://fc.de/en/fc-info/news/detailpage/details/results-from-covid-19-tests/

Yes, I actually need to get busy putting in new 4x4 wood fence posts for a friend of mine as their fence halfway blew down this winter due to being poorly installed a long time ago. Ground is soft and easy post hole digging...

That's gonna be a real problem this May. Have a feeling that anything frost sensitive can't be planted till def after Memorial day. Maybe early June. Other issue is getting garden tilled in with all the rain. I actually was out about an hour before it started yesterday to get another round done as I'm almost starting from scratch this year and want to get Broccoli and lettuce, onion sets out.

I did state "serious" pandemic. Perhaps I should have clarified so as to say, the last one, H1N1 Swine flu, which didn't need, or result in this sort of clusterf*ck.

$1.85 locally at BJs yesterday. My son sent me a gas station photo from near Charleston SC. $1.34/gal. They were around $2/gal when I was there in January as a reference.

I had a response posted but it was deleted somehow. "Expert" input should of course be considered and implemented where reasonable. I wasn't suggesting otherwise, as you seem to imply. But, in short, there are more considerations than that which PHO's and academics such as epidemiologists will factor in to actual policy. Left to their own devices, i fear that they would never allow reopening or significant relaxation of controls as cases will never be zero and there will always be the boogeyman of 2nd, 3rd, 4th waves lurking. Their models seem to be continually adjusted to fit whatever assumptions seem to fit the desired response...or after the fact to reflect actual data but by then it's too late. Decision makers (e.g. elected pols) have other considerations, such as trying to avoid a long lasting economic Depression and the unpredictable and manifold negative consequences of that. Which is not to say that the "denier bloc" has it right, as they are likely quite wrong in their approach, to put it mildly.

If you can't see the irony in that, I don't know how to explain it further.

Another outcome that I think is possible is the end of major professional sports as we know them. Or at least the outrageous $ being made by Owners and Players. They will be the next cohort in line for Bailouts, you watch. I don't see how any league survives if all/most teams aren't allowed to play by their state/local authorities. France and Italy have already thrown in the towel on finishing this soccer season and others won't be far behind. Germany is pushing back any Bundesliga restart (which I really miss), as Mutti is nervous about R0 ramping back up. And Germany are the most competent ones it seems. MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, all done, in present formats.

Sort of perverse that the pandemic response being advocated, and largely followed, is being pushed by "experts" in the healthcare field, writ large. I don't know what the right answer is but you don't have to be an expert to figure out what the economic impact will be to the healthcare system as we're seeing it real time. At some point increased mortality due to non covid-19 causes will begin to register. Of course by the time that data shows up and is processed by "thought leaders", it'll only be good for the next serious pandemic response 100 years from now (and probably forgotten by then).

I ended up with about 1.6" here. A virtual desert compared to others totals. When does the next snow arrive? Since we can't have "fun" anymore...

Yeah I was a bit surprised by the mismatch so i thought I'd comment on it. It's been raining steady but no sign of any downpours. Seems like radar has been over-depicting precip rates with this storm both yesterday and now...at least IMBY.

Radar is not matching reality, at least here. It has started rain lightly but I'm under yellow DBZ returns. Maybe take it off of winter mode?

Mets fan here. They can cancel the season as far as I'm concerned.

I'm not so sure that even the testing for active infection is all that accurate. It may be...but no shortage of reports that indicate false positives and false negs. Hopefully the false tests end up being statistically insignificant but at this point who knows.

We'll see what excess mortality ends up at. It's the only real way to know the true toll I think. We know how many people always die per unit of time so comparing changes is instructive. Its staistical and after the fact, but given the various reports of under/over classifying covid-19 deaths I basically take a lot of the morbidity stats with a grain of salt right now.

I thought Herr Oberst Cuomo "banned" private antibody testing in NY? I have read that NY DOH (?) is doing pop up antibody testing bc they don't want long lines. So they aren't preannouncing locations. Since I don't go out very often, doubtful I'll stumble onto an active testing location.

Just sprinkles here. When the calendar flips to May I'll be rooting hard for MOAR Snow. Because the beatings won't stop till morale improves.

I'm amazed at how long it's taking rain to start here. Its like yday with a bunch of virga or sprinkles at most. Barely making any N or E progress.

Wind is strong. Just tilled my garden again b4 downpours start. Wind gusts at least as bad as most of the Advirsories and Warnings that get put out.

I agree with that. I'm more of a Marxist when it comes to religion but i strongly support religious freedom principles and not tolerating persecution.

The Hasidim are also a major (if not the) reason that Measles made a comeback in the US, along with anti vax trends but this is concentrated in that community so it gets noticed. It was declared eradicated around Y2K, in the US. Not being nasty here, just pointing out that the Hasidim's self-inflicted vulnerability is a big reason why Rockland County / New Rochelle area had police deployed early in NY's covid-19 crisis. This detail was largely not reported at the time, which I thought odd...Why is that specific area having an outbreak? Prior to this, NY and CT have struggled with measles outbreaks in their communities. Measles is very highly infectious. In fact NY declared a public health emergency just last year, 2019, mainly in certain zipcode in Brooklyn, due to measles outbreaks stemming from that community. These people choose to not fully assimilate and while their cultural practices have many laudable family based traits...this sort of thing is the darkside. I'll just say this as speculation, if it were another certain middle eastern religious-culture behaving this way, there would he a sh*storm of Biblical proportions. (No pun intended).

I'm kind of rooting for some measurable May snow on the heels of a lousy winter, and with everything else going on...it fits. One of these GFS panels is bound to be right eventually.