Syrmax

What? No Kuchera map?

I'll take it. These warmups feel good for those of us still mourning the demise of summer. Remember last winter, below avg snow here but still near 100"...south and east of BGM winter was a total fail.

You must have a heater? I closed mine about 3 weeks ago. Thankfully, it was a hot summer with just enough rain to make up for losses (I'm on a well so refilling pool from that isn't an option).

Good place to hike. I snowshoe there in the winter also. Rain just got going here down to 58F. I guess its adios to our last gasp of summer...

I don't have a link to offer but check out WxRisk's latest post on Facebook or maybe twitter...Most interesting. I better get the pool closed up ASAP if he's right. Of course he's full of hubris and mongering but its usually entertaining at least.

We received another 0.71" with round 2 of storms. So total thusfar since 8 am is 1.99"...

I didn't see them but I know parts of Syracuse can flash flood in these conditions. A few years back a man fell into an open manhole in flood conditions and was sucked into the underground sewer system and perished...they extracted his body near where I work. Sad.

I ran into someone this a.m. that was wondering if these thunderstorms were due to the hurricane. I naturally said Yes. Yes they are. Wait till the eye gets here in a couple of days... I think she half believed me...

Just had a few strong thunderclaps overhead. The kind with no delay between flash and bang and make you jump. Very cool. I had 1.28" rain with first round that moved thru around 8am. Downpouring again.

I'm at about 0.9" rainfall thusfar today, since 8 am (0.13" overnight puts event over an inch here). Looks like quite a bit more coming for CNY. Edit: I just emptied my raingauge, 1.02" since 8 am. Total for event at 1.15"...

They’re actually worried? Cuz if they are... LMAO

Gotta say, with being able to work from home all the time, if it wasn't for my dog and his 4 acres of free range lifestyle here (and my pool), I'd look at downsizing to somewhere near the bullseye. In fact, I probably just should. I can always install a new wireless dog fence system and pool...

This fall I need to get back into some basic hiking. Been too long and a good way to do something that enables distancing. It is beautiful up there.

Nice pics. I haven't been up there in decades at this point. Is there Covid lurking up on top of Whiteface?

2.77" here and 0.54" prior day with Fay. 3.31" total. Definately needed that!

Light rain in Syracuse. Looks more impressive on radar than reality. At least here.

If I can get 1.5-2" of rain i won't have to scavenge any roof rain to get the pool refilled. On a well so using that isn't an option... 88F here, the high overcast clamping temps. KSYR at 89F and WU stations near it show low 90s so guessing KSYR will eke out another 90F high temp.

KBGM 1148a update more bullish for CNY rain: It`s important to not that the coldest cloud tops associated with the deepest convection and heaviest precip continues to shift toward the northwest quadrant of the storm. This gives us confidence that the western edge of the heavier rainfall shield should at least make it into our far western areas. Cyclonic flow around Fay will advect tropical moisture (PWATs exceeding 2") in from the southeast through the afternoon. Orographic lift along the eastward-facing slopes of the Poconos and Catskills looks to be key for enhanced rainfall late this afternoon and evening. Model soundings show the presence of elevated instability for NEPA and the western Catskills, which although modest, should be sufficient for embedded thunder with locally heavy rain rates over these locations from about 3-4 PM through about 10- 11 PM. There is a potential for moderate to locally heavy rainfall to linger into the overnight hours across our NY zones, especially east of I-81, as easterly flow continues to provide upslope enhancement on the northern side of the low center. Will also have to watch for where the inverted trough/residual coastal front to the north of the low center reaches. If it happens to setup a bit farther west, then rainfall totals may be underdone overnight.

About same here. Kind of odd that we will be on the fringe of a tropical system in CNY while baking in a heat wave.

I've got 97 on my thermometer at 3pm. Nice.

For those interested... current R/T generation mix in NY. Current statewide load is about 26,600 MW (all time record load is about 33,950 MW). In state generation is about 23,000 MW, so we are importing about 3,600 MW from external areas (Ontario Hydro, Hydro Quebec, PJM). For renewable lovers...note the wind output today...178 MW. It's basically roundoff error and not unusual during heat waves. There is about 2,600 MW of installed wind capacity in the state. Hence you can see the problem with developing too much reliance on wind energy. Almost all the renewable output is from the Hydro complexes at Niagara and St. Lawrence (and many small river units). No easy data on solar as a lot of it is installed Behind the Meter, residential/commercial. So it basically acts to reduce load (during the day).

I believe there was a cable fault that led to problems in parts of the Buffalo region....statewide load has been well under record MW demand levels.

That's correct. And Cali's power problems (recently) have been due to PG&E de-energizing lines during fire weather to minimize fire risk (and lawsuits), resulting in reduced ability to serve load...hence the rolling blackouts. Virtually no other state has this problem. There are pockets in NY where temporary localized issues pop up though.

People always die. Whether you or I root for hot, extreme weather has no bearing on anything. It's going to happen and people will die. It's been going on forever. I agree on being fascinated by unusual and extreme weather. Tropical nights up here don't happen too often so I prefer to enjoy it instead of crying about Darwins waiting room getting an early wake up call. Of course, walking around with a mask on in the heat isn't exactly pleasurable but its just for a short time heading into a store or bar. Only the crazies are walking around in public with masks on.

I looked at 18Z GFS a bit ago, didnt look as hot...roughly normal temps i'd say? Of course, it's the GooFuS. And 18Z as well. Glad to see the Euro has us roasting in the pit of the Slor. Great pool weather.