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Syrmax

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  1. Syrmax
    We picked up 0.75" new snow today after my 8 am measurement. So Storm total would be...adding up 4 different measurements over 3 days...10.8". Not bad but still somehow disappointing. Although we had close to that on ground before this storm so we have plenty of snow depth now...around 18".
  2. Syrmax
    Even they are trolling Matt. Sad.
  3. Syrmax
    Euro is all over the place, synoptically, over the past day. Gone from a bomb over NYC Mon/Tues to suppressed storm to now a bit of a weaker cutter look that rolls over NY State. Full spectrum inconsistencies. Prob can't figure out which wave interaction to develop, and where.
  4. Syrmax
    Pretty much shut off here. Was a pretty decent long duration event even here.
  5. Syrmax
    Canadian and German model still holding the line vs US and European output. Still early in the modelology game. Beyond about 120 hrs is still basically fantasy range. I give more cred to the GFS as long as it has Euro support, which it currently does.
  6. Syrmax
    Well, if this can hang on for most of today we may bag another 2, 3". Certainly a memorable storm for a lot of different reasons.
  7. Syrmax
    Yeah it is odd stuff. Perversely, the heaviest rate of the entire event (here), is occurring attm.
  8. Syrmax
    That's brutal. You got even less than here it looks like. Still SN- here. Flake size is decent but vis is still around 1 mile so hard to call it even moderate snow though it is accumulating.
  9. Syrmax
    Just measured, 5.5" yesterday/last night on 0.39" liquid. Storm total, 9.8". Call it 10", I might've missed 1/4" somewhere...
  10. Syrmax
    Lake effect completely irrelevant for most of CNY on W/WSW flow. Not so for BUF area.
  11. Syrmax
    Euro 0Z caved to GFS, that was our best chance at accum snowfall in the next 7-10 days. Assuming ICON and other models follow suit.
  12. Syrmax
    Has to be a subtle upslope effect by you whereas we are still downsloped further north. We've had maybe 3" this eve.
  13. Syrmax
    Interesting. I can't explain the difference.
  14. Syrmax
    The PnC for my location was changed from 3" to 9" overnight. Not sure why as we continue to just have SN- under the stationary banding. I think they're giving radar presentation or idiot models too much credit.
  15. Syrmax
    Euro does also though it was a bit muted at 12Z today as compared to its 0Z predecessor.
  16. Syrmax
    Interesting that the PnC for our area has 3 or 4" overnight and Syracuse itself is 6-8". The Phoenix PnC has 8-12"...I'll take the under as viz at airport has been >> 1 mile the past few hours, which is SN- despite what radar indicates. And that's what I've been seeing here. Just bizarro.
  17. Syrmax
    Gotcha. What I'll remember most about this storm is the utter perversity of radar returns that have been fakenews (here) due to, apparently, downsloping effect. Another lesson learned to file away.
  18. Syrmax
    This storm? It's been a bit of a wanker overall. Unless you are further east and south.
  19. Syrmax
    KBGM LR Disco: (after the mix/rain event late this week): There still remains some uncertainty with the weather late Sunday into Monday. Model guidance is now trending the development of a coastal low further offshore. If this pattern continues, it will likely draw the Arctic air mass over the Great Lakes further to the e/se and place a good portion of central NY and ne PA in very cold air.
  20. Syrmax
    I just realized that I forgot to add in the 1" of snowfall we had yday morning to my daily report. So our storm total is 4.5" as of this a.m. Snow intermittently picking up here.
  21. Syrmax
    This one is all done. I thought so last night and was correct (for here). I have never seen downsloping here but I was wrong in thinking it was a minor factor. Now we still have what appear to be good radar returns and still weak sauce for rates. The wind shift to NW won't really matter as the atmosphere will start drying and multi bands are usually meh...
  22. Syrmax
    3.5" since midnight. Radar looks impressive here but it's just snowing slightly. Basically, non accumulating snowfall.
  23. Syrmax
    Have fun out in WNY. It's pretty much all over here, actually never got going much. On to the next one.
  24. Syrmax
    Heavy Virga with occasional breaks of flurries here.
  25. Syrmax
    There. Fixed.
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