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Syrmax

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Everything posted by Syrmax

  1. Agreed 100%. SYR looks good for 9", which is KBGM's forecast.
  2. Euro looks generally good for the forum both storms this week. No major changes as I see it. For those riding the line of significant mix vs snow, that's going to be a Nowcast. Various models will have there own run to run variability but when you are on the fence that matters a lot.. The idea of a "secondary popping" is wrong for the first event. More likely a center jump on the model depictions as the system progresses NE. Still looks like BUF-> ROC most favored, with SYR probably hanging all SN with at worst a brief changeover to PL as storm is winding down. Late week storm looks really good on 00Z Euro. Forget the qpf panels on both storms, its the worst field usually. All in all looks about set.
  3. Remain calm people. All is well. Someone queue up the Kevin Bacon screenshot! Stat.
  4. Oh, so now your on to hexing our LES? When does the madness stop? Asking for a friend.
  5. Def true. SYR & ROC are the biggest Losers to date. But we aim to pimp slap back this week.
  6. 6Z/18Z runs usually model noise. We'll see what 00Z tonight and more importantly 12Z tomorrow shows. The big picture setup for this hasn't changed. There's no Miller B f@ckery to deal with.
  7. Yes I rode subs also. In fact...my son is currently out on deployment stationed on the same submarine (SSN-719) that i was on back in the 1980s when it was brand new. I commissioned it and he will be on the decom crew. Some sort of cosmic kharma there...
  8. It's great for engineering equations but I'm more tuned in to a "sense" for English system parameters, as an ex nuke plant operator... And to be fair, metric sucks for temperature. I'm used to the higher granularity of English system vs metric.
  9. I don't give a rats f*cking azz what the 18Z NAM shows. Pretty much, ever.
  10. That's a bullish call for Matt's place. I'll take the under.
  11. The potential is there to erase our seasonal snowfall deficit in/around SYR. in a week. LOL.
  12. Exactly my thought for Storm 1. I'm prepared for "issues" on Storm 2.
  13. We are in the perfect spot for model shapeshifting games...almost square in the middle of snowfall distribution for most runs.
  14. 1.0" qpf and 14" Kuchera ratio for SYR makes sense to me. Bring it.
  15. Tomorrow's 12Z and 00Z runs should hopefully lock this in. Although it's been looking solid for a couple of days. Interested to see if 00Z Euro stays consistent.
  16. @TugHillMatt jackpotting? how crazy would that be? Cmon man!
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