Syrmax

Doesn't it actually have to be snowing to have a Warning or WWA? Confused.

3.4" /0.19" liquid. This looks like we've wrapped up winter snow here. Sad AF. Debating grade for season again. F+ or D-... At least Bayern Munich is losing today The f@cks.

It is to account for the @TugHillMatt local effect. They're onto it.

You're probably correct. LOL. I think the. Est shot IMBY is earlier than later in the event. Eventually, this weird shaped band will push S&W but I'm hopeful for a couple/few inches before it slides south. I'm actually skeptical of the qpf location. Seems like the band will fall off the lake as we've seen so many times. It could reorient more NW then, which would make more sense.

Right?

It's actually hard to get more than 4 or 5" of LES at a time here. It does happen but usually it's just window dressing. But when synoptic fails it's more noticeable. This LES event looks to be mainly south and west of us. We'll pick up some scraps for maybe a couple of inches. You have a slightly better chance being a bit west of me. Our best shot is early in the event as models push the projected band south with time. Which is really odd and I don't understand why but i have seen this play out many times before. On to the next one...

The media, writ large, do hype and monger weather, or anything really, to get eyes and clicks or push narratives they favor. Always been like that. As far as deaths etc (much like some covid stats), we don't get the perspective...like how many people would normally be expected to die in car accidents in the same area and time period. Maybe the numbers aren't far off normal as less people would be driving in that weather. We don't know...

Given the past week or so, count your blessings.

Notice this little bit of f*ckery. Typical. Its bad when you're being trolled hard by the models.

You can borrow our WSW (where it won't snow). Interest rates (variable of course) are rock bottom low on the loan.

Just change it: Back to back Major HUMILIATIONS!

Thanks, Pal.

Bump that a few miles north and I won't Toss it.

Toss.

It's a decent hypothesis. Could even be correct. But not everything is AGW related. Unfortunately we'll all be dead before it's ever fully known.

Another WSW? C'MON MAN!

Would be interesting to see temp trends for that area to see if it actually correlates to their postulated reasons for the snowfall changes. I'm assuming they will but would be interesting to see.

Why would that be? Other than a couple below avg seasons affecting the long term avg?

He may jackpot again with a solid dusting. Maybe 0.1" if he finds a few snow grains stacked up just right on a midnight Jebwalk.

I don't want to be the bearer of bad news but...a few stray flakes are falling now.

I'd get excited about that if I wasn't sucked into the vortex of Bustogenisis like last night. I feel like the passengers on the Titanic trying to swim away from the sinking ship B'ville!

You'd be wrong.

Put 'em up! 4" merits WSW now.

I have a pool also and last summer was great...once it got here. Usually thinking of getting the pool going around Memorial Day but esp last year that was delayed a bit. It's been early June the past two years before i got the pool going. I like warmer water >76 degrees, so I need to get some sort of solar heater although last summer i didn't really need one. But that's rare. It would extend the pool season though by a couple of weeks at each end, which matters around here. Once March is over i'm ready for full bore global warming char broiled weather.

I'm still thinking my backyard can scratch and claw to 90" over the next 6 weeks. That would take about 24" of snow. Granted, it'll likely take the slow boat 2" at a time. I thought the same last winter though and even with "bountiful" May snow we still came up a few inches short of 90. Definately a D grade for winter here IMBY at thIs point.