Syrmax

Seems odd that Europe is having such a rough time with the virus right now while the US is heading in the good direction. Even Germany is still struggling and they supposedly had their sh*t together last year. Several countries still have stringent lockdown requirements in place. Media reporting, if it's to be believed, seems to be blaming virus variants for the trouble...but also slow vaccine rollouts in a lot of nations (UK seems to be an exception). I go back to wondering if the higher population density in Europe is a factor. We obviously have our cities and higher infection rates in them but still something seems off. I can't put my finger on whether the real data supports the news flow or if there are various distorting narratives in play.

Your gdam right we will!

10 days out...the last tease of the season?

It's a mess on roads now. About 3" IMBY. Not much fell during day while I was gone.

Back from Rochester...just flurries there last night and thru this afternoon. Sorta confused why its snowing here now. But then, yeah its March...why not.

I'm in Rochester tonight. Had to get away from the Jonah...;)

KBGM site is up on the hill at the airport. In most winters I'd say the valley floor averages a foot less snow over an entire winter.

We will get "the big one" in Morch, getting us near 90-100", forcing us to reconsider the current D grade to the winter here.

Friend of mine got 2nd Pfizer shot the other day, near 60 y.o. He had 101 fever afterwards and the usual flu symptoms.

We've only lost 2-3" here. I dont know how you lose half with moderate temps. Maybe yours was all fake snow?

KBGM at 97.1" as of today's daily Climo report. Another impressive season for them. Which doesn't surprise as they went thru stretches of generally underperforming winters in the recent past, IIRC. I'm a subscriber to the mean reversion concept in many topics...

Yeah, your perspective probably a bit better than mine as you got that 13" surprise LES at end of December, which hung on through the next couple of weeks. Ours was half that and was gone in days, leaving a T-1" snowcover until 1/18, much like 3 of the 4 weeks in December. Feb has to end strong and have a reasonable March for me to upgrade. First step would be at least getting to last year's total (87", still well BN).

So thusfar this season and month, by my accounting, I have had 29.4" snow in Feb and we are up to 72.2" for the season. So looks like we have scratched and clawed our way to about an avg Feb here for snowfall and below normal temps. Not enough to erase a no show November, December and half of January but enough to get a D grade and avoid having to retake the winter. (This means April and May snow is not required)

I forget which years but I've seen some slow and gradual melt offs of pretty deep snowcover, as we have now, in late March, where we didn't end up with hideous flooding all at once. Hopefully we get that this Spring.

Your thermometer must be a bit off...most of No. Onondaga Cty looks to be 33-35 based on the wxunderground local map.

I can't give this anything more than a D at this point, IMBY. We're likely to not reach even last year's 87". Its been a solid 5 weeks but the totality of the season has been double bogey golf. If we at least get to last year's to totals I'd consider bumping this up to a C or C-.

So, with almost 4" out of this "nothing" system and a solid 5-1/2 -6 hours of snowfall, it rivals what we got locally from "the big one" last Monday. Which was disappointment event #2 last week, out of a shopping cart of 4 or 5 (locally).

I just measured as it's mostly over for now. Flakes still falling but more "grauply" in type. 3.5" & 0.35" melted. That's 10:1 on the button. Temp is 30F. Edit: and I left out the 1/4" this a.m. and 0.03" so total is 3.75".

Noticed that. I'll have to measure soon. Has to be near 4" down.

This actually makes sense for us locally as it will be the start of our March to May snow season here...

Same here. I just cleared my driveway and had to wear sunglasses on this glorious sunny day!

Yeah I got confused. Easy to happen when you get dehydrated due to the arid conditions here.

Doesn't it have to actually start before it can end?

This is an interesting article...Herd immunity by April... Excerpt: In my own conversations with medical experts, I have noticed that they too often dismiss natural immunity, arguing that we don’t have data. The data certainly doesn’t fit the classic randomized-controlled-trial model of the old-guard medical establishment. There’s no control group. But the observational data is compelling. I have argued for months that we could save more American lives if those with prior Covid-19 infection forgo vaccines until all vulnerable seniors get their first dose. Several studies demonstrate that natural immunity should protect those who had Covid-19 until more vaccines are available. Half my friends in the medical community told me: Good idea. The other half said there isn’t enough data on natural immunity, despite the fact that reinfections have occurred in less than 1% of people—and when they do occur, the cases are mild. But the consistent and rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity. Behavior didn’t suddenly improve over the holidays; Americans traveled more over Christmas than they had since March. Vaccines also don’t explain the steep decline in January. Vaccination rates were low and they take weeks to kick in. My prediction that Covid-19 will be mostly gone by April is based on laboratory data, mathematical data, published literature and conversations with experts. But it’s also based on direct observation of how hard testing has been to get, especially for the poor. If you live in a wealthy community where worried people are vigilant about getting tested, you might think that most infections are captured by testing. But if you have seen the many barriers to testing for low-income Americans, you might think that very few infections have been captured at testing centers. Keep in mind that most infections are asymptomatic, which still triggers natural immunity.

Its snowing hard here! Wait...its just blowing off the roof. Can I measure that? Does it count?