Good point. I think most of us weenies expected significant mixing due to a variety of factors, including climo, system track, cold air availability, and knowledge of past similar events. NWS did also as virtually anyone paying attention realizes the "warm nose" frequently overperforms...or is under-modeled. I was slightly hopeful of a whiter outcome based on the relative weakness of the system but that didn't prevent the warm nose from dominating the event here.