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Syrmax

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Everything posted by Syrmax

  1. Well, the L.O. Band is on the move south. The answers to all our questions is coming.
  2. Don't these southward moves typically take longer than models predict with these strong single bands? I def recall that they tend to "hang up" and tilt SW-NE with the more inland portion of the band adding to the lag time. Pretty sure Lake Effect King mentioned this earlier in the thread.
  3. I would have headed up today but been in work conferences all day.
  4. The push from the arctic front looks like it's about midway over Georgian Bay so several more hrs before this thing gets pushed south.
  5. Not a lot of Dentists up there either. Demand/Supply thing. Look at the Northeast edge of that band on radar, it's actually hoovering in snow from just north of the band. Freaking incredible.
  6. Not sure about that...a previous version also had that northern sliver (my location) in the next darkest color (8-12") in a previous iteration. Really hard to see that happening but if the band moved slow enough south...maybe. I still like 6" as the over/under Mark here. Only about 4.5-5" to go...
  7. Hard to believe it was that long ago. I had to drive to Nine Mile Point thru that week long storm every day for work. Was a circus. One day a couple of us stopped to rescue a stranded coworker. Got a toofless person from a nearby trailer park to go get a chain and pull him out after digging in 2-3"/hr snow rates got us nowhere. Bless his kind heart. Never made it in that day, turned around and headed back to the Sunny Sizzle...
  8. I heard chatter, speculation about that but not sure the Raiders coach owned up to that? Would raise a sh*tstorm ...
  9. That was entertaining! I was rooting for a tie once that became very possible. That timeout was odd but then they gave up that 8-10 yd run to make it a 47 yd FG attempt. Without that play, it's a low probability FG attempt. They may have decided to just take a knee rather than risk a blocked FG being returned and not making the playoffs...
  10. This is what usually happens with strong Lake Events with West or WNW flow. We get a bit up front as it's starting...and at the tail end...but the bulk of the event stays north of here until a s/w or front pushes it south. And if it moves quickly it blows thru with 1-4" and falls off the lake while transitioning to NW flow multibands, where we might get another inch or two.
  11. Those ensembles are all over the place for the weekend. I think there are more misses than hits attm. Maybe that will change.
  12. From KBUF AFD re: tonight...interesting shoreline mention for the ROC people... Locally enhanced low level convergence near Irondequoit Bay and Mexico Bay (driven by concave lake shorelines) may produce locally better snowfall rates, including the eastern suburbs of Rochester.
  13. 00Z op GFS and Euro vomit-inducing runs. Let's hope this waffles back to something like what the Euro had a day ago. Would be a shame to waste 2 weeks of this pattern with just idiot clippers.
  14. Just back from Hancock Field. Rt 481 and I-81 just wet. Same with Rt 31 in Clay now. My road was untouched when I left but plowed since.
  15. Flurries here. Only accumulation has been from the frontal snow last night. About 1" total. It's all north of here as expected. Off to Hancock shortly...
  16. I think that's right. Daytime heating does cause enough instability to create a cellular nature. That's part of it certainly.
  17. I've noticed same around here. I call it Vampire snow. There's something to your idea I think, but some coincidence involved also.
  18. That map looks like 260/270 flow. Probably right as strong single bands tend to get focused down the long Axis of the lake.
  19. Usually when that happens it sets up so that we get fringed then it shifts north. We'll see. About 1" here. Roads terrible.
  20. That snowfall distribution was very similar to the Christmas 2002 bomb. Had about 24" in Clifton Park. And 20" around 7-8 days later. The only bummer was that it was mild in between storms.
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