Syrmax

1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

Saturday

A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 18. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Saturday Night

Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday

A chance of snow. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 9. Chance of precipitation is 50%

If that plays out..  very similar to January 2005. Temp wise anyway.

Well we have the better part of a week to get whipsawed around at least.

Fortunately, even if this ends up a swing and a miss or foul ball, we're likely to get some lake effect.

I'm hoping this Patriots mauling of Rivers is the price they pay for this next system. 

5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

I'm worried about "pixie dust" snow lol

There was a snowstorm circa 2005 that was sort of named the cold storm. We got around 12" here, SNE got rocked with huge amounts. It was below zero here when it started snowing. Barely made it over 0 as storm progressed. Coldest major synoptic snowstorm I've ever experienced.

1 hour ago, CNY_WX said:

That could be the blizzard of 1966 all over again!  Almost exactly the same time frame!

I'll buy that for a dollar!

6 hours ago, WNash said:

The NYC posters aren’t so bad, I’d rather see NE Connecticut in the screw zone.

True. I agree. Hiw much for Mt. Tolland?;)

1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said:

46” in the next 2 weeks lmao. 

Plus add in some more lake effect the global can’t pick up on. Haha

 

At the risk of "Karma is a bitch"...Best part of that map is the minima over NYC. 

9 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

He always the one, if you don't know the you don't know this forum, lol!

Just keeping it real, yo.

13 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

Therefore always one killjoy in every crowd, lol!  I agree it’s way too early to get excited but we can’t help ourselves, can we?

We can't. But being of a certain age, I am wary of being Charlie Brown while Lucy holds the football...;)

6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Gfs over the next 2 weeks lol

I remember a map like that last winter...end of Dec to early Jan IIRC.  Unfortunately I think we ended up having to ÷10 to get actuals... 

12Z GooFuS has 2 really good synoptic systems in next 10-12 days. Let's hope at least one materializes. That coast hugging track is perfect. Big bomb here, rain/mix for coast. Jelly.

6 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

Yeah I read that earlier and when its this quiet something usually comes out of nowhere and gives us a few inches, lol.  I've seen it happen too many times!

Agree that we should he able to grind out some minor accumulations despite a calmer looking pattern. It's almost never totally quiet around the lake...

10 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I'll tell you one thing. Just checked weeklies and they're well within accuracy range now. I am getting really excited for the next 2 months. I think we see some epic stuff. My epic call is going to be good, just a few weeks delayed. 6-8 weeks of epicness and I'll really want my yearly Miami trip in early April. 

Better not be dry though...the next week + looks arid...other than maybe a short duration LES event that usually pops up.

Question for the CNYers (or anybody), when I add this storm to my totals do I bin it as "real" snow or Fake snow? Or split the difference as its sort of a hybrid event? 

7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Still coming down pretty good, I think we add a couple inches,,

Still snowing here...light but steady. Maybe we snag another 1" overnight if this keeps up.

If it weren't for this and the Christmas Eve "miracle" this would be a gruesome 5 weeks starting in December...

Looks like the final bursts of accumulating snow are about done here. Just measured 3.0", which fell from 7 am this morning. Event total of 7.5". Not bad.

Still SN- here downtown Cuse despite radar. That wind though...not fun walking outside. 

56 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Must suck living that close to the lake..

1 NE Pulaski           0.5   700 AM  1/10  CoCoRaHS

I saw that...seems hard to believe.

7 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

I measured 4.6 inches with 0.35 LE giving me a ratio of 13.14:1 at 7 AM. Probably got at least another inch since then and it’s still snowing at least moderately. 

Interesting. I wonder if I had an under catch in the cylinder due to wind.

If it snows like this most of the day we should double our snowfall totals. Radar still looks like plenty of moisture pivoting south.  I'd estimate at least 1/2" to 3/4"  per hr rate over the past hour now. Time to head into SYR unfortunately.

4.5" snowfall at 7 a.m. & 0.24" melted. That's 18.75:1. Of course its snowing pretty decent now that I am about to snowblow.  Still breezy also.

14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

This next possible event is being advertized as a wave riding a CF, atleast that's what it looks like lol

 

10 days from now? Brutal.  We may need to replace this snow by then.

This is winding down here to SN- for the duration. Just measured, 2.5". Will probably end up near 5" by morning. We may pick up an extra inch or so Thursday.  WSW criteria likely won't verify IMBY (6 or 7"+ / 12 hrs) but biggest totals will be in hills south of SYR and up on/near Tug. Pretty typical overall. Better than the past 2 weeks.

Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said:

It doesn't, lol!  Thats something you can't say to/about any person nevermind Dr King, Wow!

Yeah...that's OT but...yeah...bad look at the least.

7 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

It just went from mod-heavy snow to practically nothing right near Great Northern Mall, just nuts!

Yup, kind of lame IMBY.  We will end up with 4 or 5 inches by 8 a.m. then another inch or two. Yawn. LES is usually weak sauce here. Give me synoptic any day

Could be worse. Could be in other forums and shutout.

12 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

Thats a shame cause about 5 miles to your North its pounding, lol!  Lake effect, ya either love it or hate it!

Yeah it is surprising. But whatevs. Lake Effect is usually crap near here. Pencil in 5", maybe 6" and that's usually about right. It's all good.  Better than the nothing burger of last 2 weeks.  Roads are just slushy.