That's why I generally only pay attention to the 0/12z runs. Too much noise otherwise. Yeah, a model output trend could be spotted or "confirmed" on 6/18Z runs, I get it, but for the most part it becomes TMI.
1/15. 6F high , -6F low
1/29 11F high, +1 low.
Those were the two coldest high temps for KSYZ in January. Jan 29th, another day where the Sizzle's thermometer likely missed another subzero reading.
January Climate Data for Sizzlecuse...
KSYZ and IMBY haven't had a >6" snowstorm yet this season. Jan storm ended up near 6.5" (7.6" at KSYZ) but that included a bunch of backend lake enhanced snowfall. Too many <3" events to mention.
We were about 80% of normal snowfall and 73% total qpf for Jan and -4.6F for month. So cold and dry. Could be worse, could be December...
Noticed lowest temp at KSYZ for Jan was -9F (twice) with 7 subzero lows and 2 days at exactly 0 for mins. Figuring in the 1-2F temp bias at KSYZ, we were likely lower than those values for both absolute and total # of min subzero temps.
Jan grade: C
Season grade to date: D+
Nov grade: C
Dec grade: D-
00Z Euro looks good for most of us, other than ENY but keeps us out of the game for any Sun-Mon storm (coastal snowbelts only). 00Z/06Z GooFuS trying hard to take our snow away for Thursday but keeps us in play for Sun-Mon.
Choose your poison...
0Z Euro is a pretty good compromise among the various model options from what I've seen. I think ratios will be problematic. Thinking 10:1 is about good for snow. I wouldnt go higher.