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Posts posted by Syrmax
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8 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:
KSYR is below normal thats all I know!
Per today's Climo Report, KSYR at 67.4 with Normal of 72.2 (-4.8" season, -17.7" since Dec 1).
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GOLDEN Snowball update as of today's NWS Climate Reports. Buffalo regrouped and has made some Halftime adjustments.
KBUF 70.0
KSYR 67.4
KBGM 56.1
KALB 28.6
KCPK (NYC Central Park) 7.1
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Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said:
Great looking band. Gotta be 2”/hr+ in there. Silver Creek up to Evangola our to North Collins and Boston. Looks pretty locked in. Go figure another overachiever the models and Mets missed.
.Glad to see Buffalo / WNY getting plastered!
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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:
Didn’t you have 2 synoptic systems give you 15-18” already? November and then last week.
We've had 2 decent to good events as you've mentioned. We are tracking roughly normal for snowfall with almost 2 months of winter left. So it's far from a disaster here. We ground out 12-13" over a couple days last weekend, despite disappointing synoptic snowfall in our immediate area (Syracuse city had noticeably more!).
Personally I dont care much about LES as it's usually transient and more or less window dressing here. Which to be clear, is a cool thing for us snow lovers, but it's not like we get blockbuster snow on WNW flow events or "ye olde broom" events that start north and fall off the lake heading south while reorienting to NW flow multi bands.
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1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:
Bring it, 60-65 up into KSYR, on the EURO for Feb 5 can't wait, not!
Pretty much done with winter here. Cold with occasional flurries or SN- isn't all that exciting TBH. Fortunately, I have a golf trip to Arizona later in Feb. Maybe when I get back I'll bring the Torch with me.
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5 hours ago, wolfie09 said:
We are a special breed lol
Majority of the population is weather illiterate...
I actually know a few who can't tell the difference between a tornado and hurricane lol
Almost everyone thinks sleet is freezing rain..haha
I have friends who call bust when the forecast is 30 percent showers , "weatherman are always wrong"
And they're convinced of global warning's worst outcomes...just ask them...
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band back into Syracuse. Doesn't look all that intense on radar but its huffing and puffing and snowing pretty good out there.
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2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:
Snow should be ending downtown in the next half hour as the band moves north.
Seeing that right now. Maybe there will be some scraps up at my house, where I actually measure.
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3 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said:
More snow in SYR from the Erie band then in West Seneca! WTH! Lol
Legitimate snow also, large dendrites. Unlike the rice snow during last weeks StormThatShallNotBeNamed.
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6 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:
Lake Erie is showing the Cuse some lovin this mornin!
Thought I was walking to the office in Oswego instead of Syracuse. Probably 2" new snow downtown.
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Pounding in Syracuse. What the hell.
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Quick inch. We take. Now back to our regularly scheduled doldrums.
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Pretty cool getting some surprise snow. May be more than we get get in the next 7-10 days per models. We take.
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6 minutes ago, WNash said:
Yeah this is gonna show up as maybe an inch or two at KBUF. Just as well that the seasonal snowfall numbers will stay low and will more accurately reflect what an awful season this has been for the Niagara Frontier in general.
Isn't the Niagara frontier always awful for snow?
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7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:
I've seen a comparison to '85 and maybe '67? I know the forecasts are not doing a good job with temps for this but I'm feeling a day next week Thursday or Friday that will not get above zero in all areas and the low temp of -21 at KBUF might be in jeopardy. That is also a mean SW flow and I'm really curious of the LES potential.
Rice snow for LES in those conditions. SGZ is underground.
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4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:
That is like a piece of space coming and setting up shop over upstate. We will literally have the largest departures of the year anywhere on the globe?
-40 out in the Dakotas and southern Saskatchewan/Manitoba. Sh*t gets real when F=C!
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So here's KSYR 's outlook for the next 7 day: we chill, then we torch, than we go liquid Nitrogen. This is exciting...
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3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:
Interesting, wolfie. Just changed over here. Took 40 minutes for the rain/snow line. Line must be moving slow.
Changeover happening now in Syracuse. Expecting zip for new snowfall. What an under modeled system this has been.
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8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:
Jan 30-feb 2nd might be the coldest air I’ve ever seen modeled. We could do the hot water to gas trick with those temps.
I cant even bring myself to look at those models. Not a big fan of negative digits. With any wind anyway...
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2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:
Another synoptic system will cross the area late Monday through Tuesday. Model guidance continues to show a variety of track solutions with this system. Some runs, including the 00Z GFS and GEM take the low center to the north and west of our region, which would bring a brief warm-up and possible mixed precipitation or even rain to our region. The ECMWF on the other hand takes a more southern track, which would keep our area all snow. If the more southern track verifies this system could be a respectable snow producer for our region. Regardless of the eventual track of this system, model guidance remains in good agreement in bringing another strong push of true arctic air into the Great Lakes and New England for the second half of next week. 850mb temps may bottom out at -30C, which would support near record cold across our region.
We're gonna have a nascent glacier here in about a week.
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3 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:
No one else knew about the 3" deluge we just received? Gotta love when they say rain, and it turns into a flooding rn, unreal, but when its supposed to snow heavy, we get pixie dust for flakes, lol!
0.50" in my rain gauge this a.m. snowcover down from 14" to 10". Still 41 degrees here this a.m. The snow has absorbed this pretty well but another day of 40 degrees will chomp into this.
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32 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:
And usually when KBUF sees potential and they throw up a winter storm watch Binghamton usually follows but I don't see that this time as far as Onondaga Madison and So. Cayuga so I wouldn't lose hope just yet.
Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk
KBGM not jumping ugly yet on this. There's still a day for modelling to further work on this event...they did mention northern Oneida but were concerned about residence time...also that NAM supposedly shows band getting into Syracuse area for a time. So WTFK...
Upstate/Eastern New York
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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That map is some sort of a mistake. Right?
Maybe it's the 1 in 10 probability map misposted.