Syrmax

Do they still go to school anymore?

I saw same on latest GFS and Euro runs. Looks promising. Some have had this event over by 12Z tomorrow for CNY...

LOL. Yeah we are nowhere near being able to validate any model for.this event. The biggest loser *could* be the GFS which IIRC was pretty far SE with its heavier snow totals for many runs. Not sure what the latest is, it may have ended up correcting a but. But...we shall see.

RN- is now SN here. Torch over. Lost 1/3rd of snow depth, down to 5-6".

We have a very light RN/PL mix going on. Hard to tell what it is as it's light. Temp still 34F. 0.15" rain thusfar.

Agree. The latest model runs do look more promising for later tomorrow and overnight. I think that's where we see the bulk of the snow fall. Up till then...maybe 1-3". Your area looks good for a foot or so.

Interesting, makes sense. I don't think we see better snow growth (at least here) till afternoon and evening.

Probably sometime near 7 am. Precip could be intermittent by then, or light, which i think lasts that way most of morning.

Nah, just pointing out the rain so far. I think we get 6-10" here locally.

Thusfar 0.09" rain thru 0030. So we've missed an inch or so of snow potential.

I could see that. Looking closer at 0Z models I'm thinking 7-10" for us in no. Onondaga. I think a few inches more (8-12") for SYZ and south to Cortland. BGM...airport may be on edge of best snow (5"?) City itself probably 2-3". Albany in a similar spot as BGM...

The biggest issue will be exactly where the heavier qpf Axis sets up. Looking at a slew of 0Z models, I'd say consensus is from say Dunkirk through Elmira to between Syr/Cortland and on NE to Glens Falls.

00Z FV3 for KSYZ 6pm tomorrow, this about when real snow starts. Won't be much till then, here. Maybe about 3" by this time.

...

Here is a good sign, 00Z NAM skew-T for KSYZ AT HR 27 Thursday 10pm. Good UVV (-12.7 ub/sec) and DGZ alignment. This would be SN+

Thats not the point. It would be helpful to see what model, what run, is it 10:1 or Kurchera, if ur gonna post them...

WTF are u posting here? Try doing some basic editing?

I don't think there's much Omega and alignment with DGZ is spotty at best. All of the initial wave qpf will be wasted on rain. There's no way I buy the 12" numbers some models have here.

Agree, we will flip about 7-8 a.m. after most precip from first wave has moved thru. After that SN- and cloudy till evening.

Prepare for extended rains and a snow minima. 6-7" at KSYZ is my call. We may eke out an extra inch NW.

01Z RAP for CNY thru 22Z tomorrow. Basically as much rain as snow, 0.4" liquid. Look at that min over Freak's place. LOL.

The Kuchie maps aren't going to verify...divide by 1.5.

USA v Honduras World Cup qualifier match going on...in Minneapolis. It's 4 degrees, with wind. LOL. 2:0 US early 2H. We play where the foreign fans won't be able to flood the stadium.

I can believe there are at least a few "rogue" NFL Owners out there who would just as soon tank but being stupid enough to start an actual conspiracy by involving/paying the coaching staff seems unlikely but not implausible. Some people think they can get away with anything, being either mega wealthy, powerful or just psychotic. Problem is that you'd have to be really certain the people you involve are more than solid, or something like "this" happens. Race issues aside for a moment, Flores is either just lashing out or he's sort of José Canseco who came out with wild allegations about steroid use in MLB. The sports media initially panned Canseco (bc he wasn't exactly a pillar of the community), until they couldn't anymore as more evidence leaked out regarding widespread steroid use. The BB text messages don't tell me anything other than BB was probably having a senior moment texting the wrong person. And Owners sacking coaches over not getting along, isn't a new (or obviously racial) thing. I hope flor Flores sake he can prove it, or he'll have set back his purported racism in hiring concern immeasurably. (Which I believe is real, but not overt racist behavior, in general).

18Z NAM has us with about 1" of snow thru 4pm tomorrow, so expecting about 6-9 hrs of rain then "dryslotting" between waves here. About 4-6" afterwards over about 12-18 hrs. Basically, Advisory level event.