Syrmax
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Everything posted by Syrmax
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Now that was a shite winter. We had 2-3" of snow on May 18th 2002, around Albany and Cap District. It was a SMH event as i had planted tomatoes and other sensitive veggies the day before (to stop my wife from bitching about it). And they died...
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12Z Euro biggest run of our lives?
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So, I was just reliving the bad old days of the 2011/12 winter. I recorded 5.3" of snow for the entire months of February and March 2012. Now that was a bad winter. We may get that much snow by the end of this week.
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Depends on which model runs they based that disco on. There's little consistency run to run it seems.
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Sort of. You are looking for one or more closed DAM contours on the H500 panel. Similar idea for different levels. http://www.theweatherprediction.com is a good resource to wander around in.
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Maybe. Maybe not. You dont know for sure either.
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I used to be more snarky about spelling but with the advent of spelling being more difficult on mobile devices, and the dreaded autospell, I tend to give people a bit of slack. Its easy to miss mistakes.
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Speaking of the GFS...one man's take on the state of American NWP and the future...worth a read. https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/01/the-future-of-us-weather-prediction.html?m=1
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Tell me that's a joke...
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I'm flying back and forth to South Carolina for a Navy ceremony this week. $430 R/T one person. I flew to Amsterdam from JFK for $380 last September. Horrid prices flying to smaller non hub domestic airports.
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Nice. I'll be in Italy end of April and early May.
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Rummaging around the WPC page and their FB page...currently featuring the "Cleveland Superbomb" of 1978. Back in the Halcyon days of yore, before AGW was blamed for everything that happens.
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On that note, here is the current 12Z WPC Day 6 sfc map.
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0Z GFS a washout next weekend. Rain to backside snow. Somehow, that feels about right this winter.
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Just swapped over to Yuge Flakes
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Has to be a lot of bright banding. If that's the right term.
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Changing to snow? WTF. Edit: that was temporary. Literally all types of precip at same time.
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No question. We were in lockdown for almost a month. This may not be a great pattern but it's better than nada. Anyone who remembers 01/02 and 11/12 should recognize that.
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I'm flying back from South Carolina next weekend. I rolled the dice with a Saturday a.m. flight versus Sunday a.m. I hope I chose right. Dont care to miss a storm or watch the Super Bowl in an airport bar.
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It is. I moved my vehicle into the garage so that I won't have to scrape it later. It's more RN than IP at the moment but a coating of slush on roads etc.
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Mostly pingers here at 34F. Have some RN mixing in but heavier precip rate seems to be able to keep it solid. Skew Ts have been so marginal with only the very surface layer >32F. We'll see.
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I remember there were a few pretty good snowstorms that followed 50 degree days down around NYC / NNJ snowbelts as a kid.
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I had pretty much written this pig off looking at GFS and other NWP Skew T's last few runs. But there's just enough credible model support for a snowier outcome to keep some hope of avoiding a front end washout alive.
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It'll be cut in half at least. Temps near 40 and a half inch of rain or more...
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I was being a bit facetious. Hard to read on internet I know. My bad. Let's just say, I can be a downer but I'm sick and tired of the whoe is me outlook. It is what it is.
