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Syrmax

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Everything posted by Syrmax

  1. Syrmax
    00Z NAM snow output.
  2. Syrmax
    00Z Ukie brings the noise. Qpf up from 12 Z and banding signature is west of Euro, more in CNY than ENY. Slp is about same location as Euro, about over White Plains but at 968 mb. Geeziz.
  3. Syrmax
    00Z Euro looks a bit deeper than 12Z run, for the 18Z Friday timeframe... slp position is about same, about over White Plains NY but 00Z has 972 mb vs 977 mg at 12Z. The 12Z slp might be a touch left of 00Z but that may be noise. Curiously, looks like qpf for CNY down a few tenths on 00Z. Not sure if it's due to intense banding signature over ENY. It looks really epic for Plattsburgh. Still looks good overall.
  4. Syrmax
    Where the rain?
  5. Syrmax
    Dunkirk was reporting SN with vis of 0.8 miles at 11pm...
  6. Syrmax
    Those numbers seem underdone compared to modeling today. Especially tonight. Hard time buying 1-3" for Syracuse region.
  7. Syrmax
    Snowing aloft around CNY now, shouldnt take too long to get some ground truth.
  8. Syrmax
    You know, there was a lot of excitement over 18Z runs. I'd rather see the 00Z runs, as far as the global models go for Friday.
  9. Syrmax
    0Z GooFuS seems to be having issues with slp placement between hrs 30 and 36. Doesn't look right.
  10. Syrmax
    We'll let you know how the sleet pellets feel down here. Just in case you forget...
  11. Syrmax
    Storm cancel?
  12. Syrmax
    Thats a helluva AFD. My area's AFD reads, essentially,...snow, followed by mix and rain, then some more rain changing to periods of snow Friday. Then clearing. Then Spring comes in late March.
  13. Syrmax
    My county's WSW (issued by KBGM) has 1-3" tonight n Thurs with some ice accum and 4-8" Friday. Yaaaaaaawn. Where's the love?
  14. Syrmax
    Decade is what, a month old?
  15. Syrmax
    Sash. Dont jinx it.
  16. Syrmax
    Great flick.
  17. Syrmax
    That's quite consistent with itself. Now if we can see the Euro ensembles or op with something like that...
  18. Syrmax
    I agree it looks promising. I'm just leery of the modeling disparities and let's face it, this winter has found a way to snatch defeat from the jowels of victory with regularity...
  19. Syrmax
    7" here, between two systems...I guess we'll have to take whatever scraps get hurled at us this winter. Of course this is the NAM. I'm just hoping we can keep some snowcover after the rain on Thursday afternoon and evening. Probably will as sfc temps don't look to get too warm.
  20. Syrmax
    Divide by 3 or 4? Asking for a friend....
  21. Syrmax
    Agreed. Two waves, 2-5" each. Yawn.
  22. Syrmax
    I was reading their AFD. Maybe it's old but certainly not inspiring. I've found their snowfall forecasts to be disturbingly accurate for us, as compared to KBUF. Generally, take the under as compared to NWP. Hopefully they're off this time, or old data. These look like 2 waves barely separated. So I can buy moderate snowfalls here.
  23. Syrmax
    KBGM going 2-3" here Wed/Thurs and 2-4" Friday/Sat. Sounds about right. Rain to snow on friday a.m. High temps mid 30s to 40s Fri & Sat in AFD. Temps after that in seasonal range next week, 30s and low 40s.
  24. Syrmax
    I was just visiting Navy Nuclear Power School. I told them they needed to step up their game.
  25. Syrmax
    If I lived in BGM area, where my parents did, I'd be opening a vein about now. Likely hosed again.
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