Syrmax

The streets are melted and wet. The yard and my iced over pool deck and measuring spot, none...Some melting but minimal. Its mid 30s and feb sun (dark now). Remain calm.

KBGM not biting on the WSW's...as far as I can see. Smart move. LES too fickle. Just pencil in 1-4". On a side note I saw Channel 9's 6pm foecast (Teske)...3-6" band with locally 10"...in a NW to SE band from Oswego thru Syracuse and SE. So basically, you may get 3" or you may get 10". Might as well forecast that its may snow and pop open a beer.

Seems like you and Matt effed us all over, disturbing the Force!

Final total just a shade under 5". Lulz.

I thought the LR was supposed to suck? At least based on all the moaning and groaning I've seen online. Maybe wait a day for it to change?

Well the back edge is approaching, we may squeak out another half inch. Doubtful we get a slushy mess as there is still 10+" o.g. forecast high is 42 with rain showers but there is no precip behind this to speak of. We may hit a cloudy 40 degrees for a cup of coffee but that's about it. Not exactly balmy.

I'm up to 4" now, LOL. This is about as good as half the systems we've had this season.

At least its warm down there in FL. I was in Charleston SC for a couple days, two weeks ago. Hideous 45 degrees and rainy. Felt too familiar...like Syracuse this past January...

Yeah. But those models suck.

KBUF WSW for across the river up in Oswego county and no. Wayne for wednesday night into thursday. Fortunately that's not us, down here in the tropics.

Certainly overachieving my expectations, which were based mainly on KBGM forecast of maybe an inch of wet snow then rain, from what little I looked at this one.

2" down as of 7 a.m. Seems this will overachieve a bit, at least w.r.t. the official forecast...

KBGM was spitballing 5-8" possibly. A bit surprised to see them even mention possible accumulation amounts for LES 2 days ahead of time. Something to keep an eye on i suppose. An area of 5-8 inches is possible from Baldwinsville through Syracuse over to Cazenovia. Snowfall rates may approach 1-2 inches per hour at times Wed night/Thur morning. Favorable lapse rates, lift and moisture within the DGZ along with limited shear and a sufficiently mixed boundary layer will all contribute to lake effect snow overnight.

We probably won't see jack sh*t out of this but KBGM also mentioned the possibility in their AFD today. We've actually had decent snow depth the last few weeks in spite of the general malaise of this winter. Will be nice to get back to our steady diet of cutters. Upper midwest has to be well above average snowfall this season.

My place was at 0 this a.m. with a fresh 1.8" of snow yesterday, making the event grand total just shy of 3". Some fine light snow falling also. We're not making 100" this season it appears.

HRRR has KSYR 2 meter temps at -3F tomorrow at 13Z? Not a fan of that. Sucks to be 6 ft tall tomorrow.

I didnt realize that 12/13 was that bad also. I don't recall Syracuse totals but thinking it wasn't nearly that bad.

Not even close to as bad as 2011/12 or 2001/02. Upstate...

Amazingly, I had 1.0" snowfall and almost 0.25 melted. White rain? It looks purty outside with snow plastered on trees and such. At least my expectations were for 3-5", not a foot! And we have 10+" of snowcover. It could be worse. So shortly it will get much colder and windy. So we have that going for us.

I. Noticed that when I left work downtown at 9pm. My car had 40F! It is only 36-37F here but wow.

Here are some fun factoids to taunt and annoy your friends and coworkers with regarding this upcoming Monday's Holiday (Washington's Birthday, not Presidents Day, FYI), courtesy of KBGM...

The models will get this fully figured out by the 18Z runs tomorrow.

This is when the superior H500 Z scores of the EC model will fail us and cave to the GFS.

Band is ending before it shifts south. What kind of f***ery is this?

Noone cares about HRRR. Algorithm probably created by Millenials.