JonClaw

Nice to see the SREF plumes bust upwards for once. The last time I checked them, the mean was 0.78" for CP with most members clustered under it.

Light snow in Queens!

I'm supposed to be in Florida on vacation from Oct 1 to Oct 7. Watching what's potentially on the heels of Helene closely... Currently running GFS has a hurricane stalling west of FL and then slamming into Venice, FL. Thankfully, this is 10 days out, but the signal is there.

Heaviest rain this summer IMBY

Lots of buildings around me, but I imagine the shelf cloud looks amazing.

Lightning map going crazy over Staten Island https://www.lightningmaps.org/#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=;ts=0;y=40.6887;x=-73.9548;z=11;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;

Little cell has got some heft to it. Very heavy rain IMBY.

Tons of lightning and rain. Not much thunder, surprisingly. Best of this line is going to my north. As I type this the rain is picking up again, whatever is in Brooklyn might train over me... and finally some good thunder too.

This should be good.

6PM tomorrow

What a heat dome.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Northern Delaware Massachusetts New Jersey Southern New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1110 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mix of thunderstorm clusters and supercells should pose a threat for numerous to widespread severe/damaging winds as they move eastward this afternoon and evening. Peak wind gusts should generally range around 60-70 mph, with isolated gusts perhaps reaching up to 75 mph. Occasional hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may also occur with any sustained supercell. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Worcester MA to 30 miles west southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason

A quick look at NOAAs Historical tracks has both David (1979) and Allen (1980) hitting around there. EDIT: Ivan as well in 2004, per WxWatcher007

When was the last time NYC was under Enhanced Risk by the SPC?

Bullseye