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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring..
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    ended up getting half that the whole month of February - just a tease, think it verified for NNE though
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    And many of us didn’t get a warning event .. that was a waste of a good pattern.
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Seems like forecasts will bust low in North Carolina
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Obviously going to be hard to get a true coastal where we need it with our luck lately, but we will be tracking again very soon when the GFS/EURO tease us with a bomb next Friday, potential is there, can we finally reel a coastal in? 00z GFS was very close and 12z Euro yesterday. Then after that a nice overrunning signal for day 10 and beyond..
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    3 degrees, tied for lowest temp this season.
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    about 10 degrees warmer than guidance had it, still havent gotten below 3 degrees this season..
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    We wait til Feb 4th though 10th period
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Actually it’s hanging by the WPC 95th percentile map at 18z a few posts back it seems
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Weenies find a way lol
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    We just had a major snowstorm - sucks to lose out on another - but I’ll take another plowable stat padder on a Sunday - holding out hope for that
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    How is it bad if it isn’t out yet ?
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Since when was the euro labeled GFS ?
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    the mean track is much further east
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    We had about 8" here that storm, I'd take that all day
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya just less so, speaking of that - the EURO just 100 miles NW would be 15-30" region wide lol . and we still have 96 hours to go
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Wonky Euro track , Bombs and stalls off Hatteras, goes ENE then curls back in ..
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Damn high stakes for ENE .. Flip flopping continues ENE - equal odds for either: 1. Major hit 2. light to moderate blow 3. Scrape miss West of River - 50% miss/scrape 30% light to mod hit 20% major hit
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    If this ends up scraping, the GFS needs to be retired, that would be 4 medium range busts/caves in a row. Still have 84-96 hours to get it 75 miles west for most of us though so we track
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Euro AI held serve , euro with a massive shift west from the abysmal 12z. well one thing is agreed on SEMASS looking pretty damn good.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    lol I was just posting maps too you guys beat me to it .. that’s not just a bump northwest that’s a 15-20” mean at day 5 for SEMASS. 5-10” to ENY. GFS has burnt us quite a bit this winter in the medium range so I’m very wary. But as we’ve said we would expect a strong Miller A to move NW as we get closer so we shall see what the other guidance says.
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Same page as you, give it until tomorrow 12z or even tomorrow night. Just need a few tweaks in our favor to get what we want.
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya 6z euro suite was bad . However, still 5 days out, need to tweak a few things and like Will said get this to close further north.
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