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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Wow Congrats I knew it when I saw what I had, shocked I have 1.5” here.
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Seeing reports of 2-3” in northern ct
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Nope
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Another bust on guidance here, been snowing decently for 3 hours.. almost an inch.. nothing really had measurable here
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    some EPS snow plumes while we wait for 00z guidance
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    For the very little it’s worth, it’s by far the snowiest I’ve ever seen them even when you don’t include this weekends snows
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Weeklies got even crazier. 6 weeks of this pattern -NAO +PNA (-Epo mid Feb) With a -10 F 42 day anomaly and tons of coastals.
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Different mechanism . Thump then slot south . Lesser thump but prolonged period of snow with possible coastal enhancement north
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    There are a lot of signs that point to this being a very strong thump especially south of the pike.. extremely anomalous WWA setup . As is euro is like 9+ hours of 1-2” + rates around here..
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    To me this looks like a hellacious thump to slot for 8-12 hours then maybe we can fill in some more snow Sunday overnight into Monday. CNE and NNE may have longer duration. Moderate snow
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    Thursday 4am earliest I’d say more likely Thursday PM watches
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    The relative consistency run to run at 96 hours out is wild .. there are such small changes in qpf for all of the northeast if you toggle back the last 3 runs.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Euro is a good bit north of 6z
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    I mean we have a 12-18”+ storm for dc to Portland Maine and that’s a mid size snow storm . Wow these don’t grow on trees .. obviously more than 10:1 maps as meteorology tells you there’s a very good chance ratios will be higher than 10:1
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    also total precip maps add a good amount of lake effect and tonights qpf
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    For the insane rates we need another 100 mile shift north
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes I think qpf amounts will tick up .. You are talking 12-18 hours of overrunning snow in an extreme setup, going to be some beefy rates, also if we get a few more ticks north, that will beef up qpf.. Could see this being closer to 1" qpf just from the overrunning.
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Wow that's horrible.. You need to see a 30"+ burger, hits different - I've had that in 96 and 2013.. 20" a bit more common about 5 of those in my life..
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    NAM is just EPIC at 84.. ready to unload on us in 12 hours .. this is one of the few storms you can use it for a general idea in it's long range ..
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    We have more wiggle room in SNE for a significant event. As you can see, the highest odds for 6" are Baltimore to Boston, however the highest odds on EPS for 12" + is over DC more boom or bust there.. While we have a few different ways to get widespread 6-12"+ .. Theres going to be some amazing soundings coming out soon, and you know we will get Nam'd with a 15-30" run by tomorrow morning.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes it's different than two days ago, but I jumped on more energy phasing out west 36 hours ago.. I knew we all had a chance still 4 days out, might go well north like the pope says, stays where we are not, or ticks back south the next few days.. Odds are quite high for several inches areawide however..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    @WinterWolf Euro is around 4am start time ...
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