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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I’m not getting excited til 12:15am if we hold the look and even make it better. If we tick back east then we are at the same spot as 12z today.
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    It’s a whiff too..
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Like I said earlier - no definitives we still have a chance with all scenarios still on the table..
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think a lot are over this winter with all the wasted potential and constant teasing. I’m def hoping for an early spring.
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Down to 4-8" here .. with grass popping up under the tree branches and from salted areas ..
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    lol AIFS wayyy East
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I'm in the same boat .. I'd take a wind driven 4-8" snowfall to end the season though.. As is we need a miracle to get a big dog like GFS has over DC - IF EURO doesn't join us at 12z then it's virtually impossible IMO
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Thank god we don't live in DC - talk about high stakes
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Significantly better at 500 though..
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Honestly I don’t think anyone trusts it I know I don’t, I think it’s more our dumb luck, it’ll finally catch a bone and be 100% right just to F us again. I'm thinking 25% chance big hit 50% light to mid snow 25% compete whiff
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO AI didn't budge the SLP location from 00z, Low 970s very near BM just SE gust like GFS.. Euro is nowhere close to that.. Euro crosses 70W at 997mb at 36 degrees latitude lol while the others are a hair from the BM at 970mb
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    ticked SE nice mod event back to 91 would get some good banding, potentially major ENE
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    I need to see GFS and CMC to hold and expand precip shield and 12z AI come NW like 00z or even better, that would give me solid confidence and think that the EURO will eventually cave.. But if AI/GFS/CMC start ticking SE we can expect a blend towards EURO solution.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Nope I put them back on, keep on getting dressed and undressed to EURO / GFS
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    The AI version has moved 1000 miles in the past 24 hours
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    It’s been bad for a while, when it’s on its own it’s usually wrong. Again I’m just saying have an open mind not saying this is guaranteed coming back to be a big hit.
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    I’m not saying the storm is going to hit at all. But a big hit is still on the table. Are you guys delusional or lack the memory of the euro having how many fantasy blizzards in the 4 to 8 day range this season to not even come close to verifying when other models had no interest. The EPS is a joke as well come on guys. How many head fakes did we have with the EPS this season showing big hits to not even see a damn flake
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Euro means absolutely nothing as others have said it’s been the outlier on massive hits this close in, not what it used to be. Do I think this hits? No idea. But day 5 is an eternity for all these definitive statements. I believe we have a 1 in 3 shot at either 1. Glancing blow 2. Big hit 3. complete whiff
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    I have a good feeling about this one.. Small favorable shifts at 500mb can take this from a glancing blow to a major blizzard .. We shall see, I've gotten played many times before..
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I was thinking just to see a bomb at the BM would be a massive win for us - after all this talk about it not being possible anymore
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    70" plus 90 mph winds that would be fun
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Holy CMC if that comes up the coast…..
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Talk about blue balls that run damn what a monster .. We still track
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Lol it's all good, I'm in spring mode, but I would love another biggie - at day 5 there's still plenty hope - obviously odds favor a miss East currently, but I'll track the potential of a shift back NW and amped..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    6z GFS and 6z EURO have a 973 mb low in the same spot at 129 hours out 200 miles south of benchmark.. we track that ..
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