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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think things definitely de amp as we get to 00z tonight.. Will be a 6-8" jack zone locally 10.. and 3-6" around that with 1-3" on the fringes.. Not some of these wild solutions we've seen. Euro has had the right idea of not being too amped..
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    I’ve definitely thought this. Would be be surprised if it we get the one max Binghamton to bdr then another slightly less max around Kevin
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS looks very euro like and reasonable
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    NYC in trouble
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    RRFS finally on board whats a 250 mile multi run shift amongst drunk brothers
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    Icon, RGEM, RRFS all NE at 12z small bump with Icon .. I think ground zero will end up being an axis from Binghamton to BDR 15 miles either side of that line
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    That's the RGEM
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero..
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Reggie went SW at 6z, Herpes is what you looked at which is erratic and unusable usually, but every blind squirrel
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    I feel like those are modeled every decent storm, then fade quick as storm starts, models are more weenies that us.. They happen but are very rare ..
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Called the hartford jack this run
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    From Tomer.. His model ratio calculates 4-5" per hour over SENY and NNJ in that band lmao
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    You gotta check out modeled soundings for HPN under that mega band on HRRR
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    I mean plenty of guidance supports 6-8" . I like 4-8/6-10 to give more of a range. We haven't had things break our way in a while, so it's best to stay conservative. Right now north west NYC metro is favored..
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Man thats a Major NYC metro snowstorm, lets pull that NE please.. Verbatim would be 12-17"+ in the jack stripe , what a weenie run
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    That was another solid move though.. That's not done trending.. I think the jack axis will be newburgh to BDR and spread accumulating snow to eastern mass (1-2")
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Still snowing SE New England , thats another 25 mile bump NE..
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR with another solid bump NE, gets SW half of CT into the goods
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya for MJO, maybe creeps into Greenwich.. Nothing really suggests that besides drunk NAM
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    In Meriden biggest worry is not taint, it's if you can get into that 1-2" per hour band..
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Where are you located? There's no suggestion of SNE being affected by the warm layer (unless you look at NAM), you want it over Jersey and SW metro to maximize snow in SNE.. If NAM continues to show this all day then I'll give it more thought.. But it will probably be congrats Hartford this run with 15"
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR was a banger for NYC metro at 6z, def coming in NE this run.. hopefully gets SNE good, would be the first meso to look like the globals..
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think you get your biggest snow this season. Merry Christmas
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    Merry Christmas ! Shocked upton said “no changes in forecast”. They are keeping 2-5” here and NYC 6-8”.
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