It's a major nod to gfs though with the Delmarva getting smoked like gfs had yesterday .. still plenty of time for NAM to trend NE .. thats a tucked in LBSW bomb though
Or gfs to verify, rgem had a band getting close to here .. I’m hopeful, unless we get messenger shuffles here on out then we are screwed IMO west of river
Maybe, doesn't have to be, could be a Juno where it gets to you only and I smoke exhaust from your ccb .. nice banding showing up on guidance hopefully it spreads the wealth
This is why meteorologists get a bad name.. Everyone wants to be the first to post.. He should give it until later today.. I am incrementally letting our following know about the threat increasing, this way if we get a carpet pull it's not a shock..
Ya I'm in the same boat .. I'd take a wind driven 4-8" snowfall to end the season though.. As is we need a miracle to get a big dog like GFS has over DC - IF EURO doesn't join us at 12z then it's virtually impossible IMO
Honestly I don’t think anyone trusts it I know I don’t, I think it’s more our dumb luck, it’ll finally catch a bone and be 100% right just to F us again.
I'm thinking
25% chance big hit
50% light to mid snow
25% compete whiff