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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Iconic is very ironic after my post to Ray
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Lol I don't want to say huge, but I still think you can get a huge snowstorm, albeit low odds, but better than no odds
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    I agree that significant overrunning likely doesn't make it that far north.. but I disagree that you can't get significant snow from this whole setup, the trends at 500 suggest that we can get an actual coastal after the overrunning, still plenty of time for trends and change, the results early this 12z run continue to show opportunity for more phasing..
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    I feel bad, bc we know there's a 50% chance the jack ends up north over DC and he gets 3" of freezing rain ..
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Move to Worcester.. They get every storm
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    Seems like it's trending more to a low to moderate overrunning Sunday to a higher end coastal potential Monday as the SW energy is trending to a phase
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    30 day mean on Weeklies
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    The Canadian Parallel Weather Model refers to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) running a test (parallel) version of a weather model alongside its operational model to evaluate upgrades before full deployment.
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Just a bone for the NNE crew. In Canada we trust ..
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Day 5 and day 9 hold plenty potential
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    cmc major snowstorm hartford to dc 10-20”
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    Doesn’t help that the general public already is expecting a monster snow storm either. Weather apps idk which one are calling for 14-17” for CT. And social media is already talking about it.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya not implying you, I know your name well, that’s why I said newbies. Congrats on the jack!
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Good time to remind the newbies to measure on a patio or snow board. Grass measurements will inflate by up to an inch.
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    The Canadian Parallel is a KU for New England the weekend, I've been looking at it, no idea how it scores, it was one of the first models to catch on to yesterday's potential, that's about all I know about it.. It's experimental, but I read it's taking over for the CMC this year ..
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    It allowed the trees to keep all snow - photogenic scenes out there for all. Now that the light is hitting the trees I captured this.. Just a reminder how bad it’s been for us. I moved here in 2018.. 8 years and I’ve never had back to back months over 8” of snow until the last 2 months. 13.4” December and 9.6” January - 23.0” on the season
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Also verification scores still have AIFS ENS as number one performing 500mb verification last 90 days so we do have to give them some weight. Caveat is I don't know the source of this data..
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think it's a combo of both as I'm noticing the runs that our south the SW shortwave gets left behind. Also we never want to be ground zero at day 5.5, rarely works out.
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    At this stage every model was, euro and gfs were completely out to see 48-60 hours out for Sunday's storm
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-16-17-2003 Resemblance is wild.. need to trend this 250 miles north in 5.5 days.. @ORH_wxman whats your recollection on PD2 and the last 48 hours trend north?
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes and regardless what model, Richmond is ground zero right now, some of the means are unreal.. Still 5.5 days out plenty of time to pull her north..
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    00z GEFS was a broad light to mod hit from Norfolk to Portland Maine
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    I agree that trends don't look good if you toss the AI models with the cold press from Canada.. However, I do like how consistent the AI's have been. Also PD2 is a pretty damn close analog and we know how that trended north last 48 hours.. Also the ops have been occasionally showing some hits.. Have to start getting some more op hits, looks like it's all about how the SW vort ejects and phases in..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    4.1” congrats out east well deserved! Let’s bring in PD3 this weekend!
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