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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Just remember we are still digging out from our back to back major snowstorms the GFS had for last Wednesday and this Sunday in the mid range ..
  2. AI GFS is fun, 4 southern mid atlantic snow events before the pattern warms..
  3. Congrats Myrtle Beach! The GFS sucks, I view it like the NAM at 84 hours..
  4. @40/70 Benchmark define huge. Also You'd have to imagine there will be a rogue 10-20" band displaced well north of forecast, maybe you'll get thrown a bone for a change and cash in on that..
  5. Great start to 12z - NAM and RGEM both looked great at 500, and Icon as well, Icon gets a Significant almost Major snowstorm in SNE with plowable snow for many more..
  6. Lol I don't want to say huge, but I still think you can get a huge snowstorm, albeit low odds, but better than no odds
  7. I agree that significant overrunning likely doesn't make it that far north.. but I disagree that you can't get significant snow from this whole setup, the trends at 500 suggest that we can get an actual coastal after the overrunning, still plenty of time for trends and change, the results early this 12z run continue to show opportunity for more phasing..
  8. I feel bad, bc we know there's a 50% chance the jack ends up north over DC and he gets 3" of freezing rain ..
  9. Seems like it's trending more to a low to moderate overrunning Sunday to a higher end coastal potential Monday as the SW energy is trending to a phase
  10. The Canadian Parallel Weather Model refers to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) running a test (parallel) version of a weather model alongside its operational model to evaluate upgrades before full deployment.
  11. Just a bone for the NNE crew. In Canada we trust ..
  12. Doesn’t help that the general public already is expecting a monster snow storm either. Weather apps idk which one are calling for 14-17” for CT. And social media is already talking about it.
  13. Ya not implying you, I know your name well, that’s why I said newbies. Congrats on the jack!
  14. Good time to remind the newbies to measure on a patio or snow board. Grass measurements will inflate by up to an inch.
  15. The Canadian Parallel is a KU for New England the weekend, I've been looking at it, no idea how it scores, it was one of the first models to catch on to yesterday's potential, that's about all I know about it.. It's experimental, but I read it's taking over for the CMC this year ..
  16. It allowed the trees to keep all snow - photogenic scenes out there for all. Now that the light is hitting the trees I captured this.. Just a reminder how bad it’s been for us. I moved here in 2018.. 8 years and I’ve never had back to back months over 8” of snow until the last 2 months. 13.4” December and 9.6” January - 23.0” on the season
  17. Also verification scores still have AIFS ENS as number one performing 500mb verification last 90 days so we do have to give them some weight. Caveat is I don't know the source of this data..
  18. I think it's a combo of both as I'm noticing the runs that our south the SW shortwave gets left behind. Also we never want to be ground zero at day 5.5, rarely works out.
  19. At this stage every model was, euro and gfs were completely out to see 48-60 hours out for Sunday's storm
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