Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Ya EPS is well north of GEFS, this is probably dead for CT/MASS border south unless GEFS is onto something
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EPS with wintry vibe for the 2nd , high pressure in SE Canada as the overrrunning moves in .
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A lot of high pressure in Canada, going to be a battle. 12z guidance today has an icy look for New England / just depends what side we are on, could be 70 in Jersey while we ice , or just torch up to CNE..
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GEFS were nice , focusing on a swath of snow from Greenwich to Ludlow
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What did you get on that? I’m sick again so just passing time looking at that storm looked like an epic Deform band from Ray to Ginxy for 6-8 hours while you got more WCB.. looks like 18-24 for you?
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This is the one right here going 30” lmao
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Epic forecast and epic bust. That was the RGEM storm
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10 years ago, when the Jinx started for us out west. These maps bring back painful memories
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??? Until it does, we won’t always get skunked during favorable patterns, just bad luck…
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Maybe he has, maybe he hasn’t, we just don’t know.
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Yup, let’s see if it’s a GFS head fake in an hour, Dr. No is really sharp this year.
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Lol - euro will be 150 miles north of that lock it in
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That’s favored for now, we just hope it changes, we are due… eventually it will break.
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I agree Feb 1-5 or so.. then after that we should reshuffle, wonder if we can get a well timed high for a wintry mix at least instead of all rain in that Feb 1-5 timeframe
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The amount of bullshit in these threads is amazing. You all can keep on bitching if you want and stating things that aren’t true. The upcoming pattern for Feb isn’t modeled as dry currently, I posted the charts to show it. Whether it’s rain or snow, Let’s see what happens. It’s not a lights out winter is over pattern plain and simple, it’s actually quite the opposite which is all we can hope for in February.
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That was my point the “rain” on the ops is 10-14 days away, plenty of time to change. Especially with that much cold in Canada. February is peak season for snow in New England, roll the dice for the 100th time it seems since our last good storm and pattern and let’s see what we roll.
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First few threat or two yes, after that it’s up in the air still 10-14 days away, after this coming week it doesn’t look dry, for now…
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You can lead a horse to the water but you can make them drink it
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First week or Feb on EPS, cold and mainly dry probably moves in after the first 7 days , the warmth just looks like 1-2 cutters, we mainly stay average temp wise.
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GEPS and GEFS look similar, GEFS has cold more in the west central US. Ton of pacific blocking on all ensembles. Hell of a cold signal thus far out, I’m not sure I’ve ever seen such a strong signal this far out.
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She’s not going to lets us out. After the early Feb cutter and mini torch it looks active with plenty of cold nearby, looks good for at least CNE+ NNE, let’s see what plays out.
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Ya elevated Southbury is like 50-55” 30 year average.. sucks last 7 years is like 30-35”
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Refresher before the big melt a few days after
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30 year average is between 40-50” in this area. Those big storms don’t come around that often. We get a 20” storm once a decade.. we need 2-3 “ warning plus” snows in this area to reach climo plus several nickel and dimers.
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That Feb 2 storm signal was there on 00z Euro. 6z gfs had a beefed up clipper mid next week for SNE. 6z euro woulda been similar if it ran out further.
