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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. You gotta check out modeled soundings for HPN under that mega band on HRRR
  2. I mean plenty of guidance supports 6-8" . I like 4-8/6-10 to give more of a range. We haven't had things break our way in a while, so it's best to stay conservative. Right now north west NYC metro is favored..
  3. Man thats a Major NYC metro snowstorm, lets pull that NE please.. Verbatim would be 12-17"+ in the jack stripe , what a weenie run
  4. That was another solid move though.. That's not done trending.. I think the jack axis will be newburgh to BDR and spread accumulating snow to eastern mass (1-2")
  5. Still snowing SE New England , thats another 25 mile bump NE..
  6. HRRR with another solid bump NE, gets SW half of CT into the goods
  7. Ya for MJO, maybe creeps into Greenwich.. Nothing really suggests that besides drunk NAM
  8. In Meriden biggest worry is not taint, it's if you can get into that 1-2" per hour band..
  9. Where are you located? There's no suggestion of SNE being affected by the warm layer (unless you look at NAM), you want it over Jersey and SW metro to maximize snow in SNE.. If NAM continues to show this all day then I'll give it more thought.. But it will probably be congrats Hartford this run with 15"
  10. HRRR was a banger for NYC metro at 6z, def coming in NE this run.. hopefully gets SNE good, would be the first meso to look like the globals..
  11. I think you get your biggest snow this season. Merry Christmas
  12. Merry Christmas ! Shocked upton said “no changes in forecast”. They are keeping 2-5” here and NYC 6-8”.
  13. Euro bumped NE as well congrats everyone. Merry Christmas goodnight . Hope I don’t wake up to congrats dendrite again
  14. Me too , I was hoping to spread the wealth at 00z not screw ct an congrats CNE
  15. MJO may never enter this thread or visit Massachusetts again if NAM comes close to verifying
  16. I’m glad to have more folks hopeful for some holiday snow .. this is how it should be
  17. 3km Nam looks like the other guidance after it was congrats Philly .. pitiful modeling by mesos so far Edit mixed to nyc
  18. Odd that HRRR RRFS and 3KM are nothing past Philly and shredded
  19. Forgot the 18z euro came out .. looks great almost a Christmas Eve miracle for all of SNE.. 90% of SNE into plowable now
  20. Man what a weenie run of GEFS , there are rough estimate 35% of members that are in the 8-12" range at 10:1 ratios for the SW third of the state
  21. It def was it started to back off last 24 hours, this is a different set up, and euro is one bump NE away from looking the same.
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