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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Canadian tried for it, Canadian para 00z had a deeper 952 bomb inside BM , plenty of signal and support for something exotic in the 8-10 day range
  2. since we are in storm mode and this is pretty much the banter thread til next week.. Both storms here
  3. The NBM is wild.. looking deeper at the online tools gsl website.. Has snow liquid ratios 16-18:1 to start for many, dropping closer to 12:1 at the end of overrunning.. with 1-1.5" qpf for all of SNE..
  4. Wow Congrats I knew it when I saw what I had, shocked I have 1.5” here.
  5. Seeing reports of 2-3” in northern ct
  6. Another bust on guidance here, been snowing decently for 3 hours.. almost an inch.. nothing really had measurable here
  7. some EPS snow plumes while we wait for 00z guidance
  8. For the very little it’s worth, it’s by far the snowiest I’ve ever seen them even when you don’t include this weekends snows
  9. Weeklies got even crazier. 6 weeks of this pattern -NAO +PNA (-Epo mid Feb) With a -10 F 42 day anomaly and tons of coastals.
  10. Different mechanism . Thump then slot south . Lesser thump but prolonged period of snow with possible coastal enhancement north
  11. There are a lot of signs that point to this being a very strong thump especially south of the pike.. extremely anomalous WWA setup . As is euro is like 9+ hours of 1-2” + rates around here..
  12. To me this looks like a hellacious thump to slot for 8-12 hours then maybe we can fill in some more snow Sunday overnight into Monday. CNE and NNE may have longer duration. Moderate snow
  13. Thursday 4am earliest I’d say more likely Thursday PM watches
  14. The relative consistency run to run at 96 hours out is wild .. there are such small changes in qpf for all of the northeast if you toggle back the last 3 runs.
  15. I mean we have a 12-18”+ storm for dc to Portland Maine and that’s a mid size snow storm . Wow these don’t grow on trees .. obviously more than 10:1 maps as meteorology tells you there’s a very good chance ratios will be higher than 10:1
  16. also total precip maps add a good amount of lake effect and tonights qpf
  17. For the insane rates we need another 100 mile shift north
  18. Yes I think qpf amounts will tick up .. You are talking 12-18 hours of overrunning snow in an extreme setup, going to be some beefy rates, also if we get a few more ticks north, that will beef up qpf.. Could see this being closer to 1" qpf just from the overrunning.
  19. Wow that's horrible.. You need to see a 30"+ burger, hits different - I've had that in 96 and 2013.. 20" a bit more common about 5 of those in my life..
  20. NAM is just EPIC at 84.. ready to unload on us in 12 hours .. this is one of the few storms you can use it for a general idea in it's long range ..
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