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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    I'm hopeful to keep some semblance of -NAO and stay seasonable while most of the country warms up .. Guidance trending better in at least some -NAO around that time after losing the block on steriods over Hudson Bay idea .. I can see us getting lucky again and limiting the torch to a cutter only before we get -EPO cold
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Snow growth looks very good. IF we can muster .1" qpf then I could see 1-2" in spots ..
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO hitting squalls hard too
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR still looking like coating to 1" on snow tonight , then an impressive squall line around sunrise dropping another coating to 1" .. SE New England still favored for more tonight especially cape and eastern maine
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Impressive snow squall threat tomorrow around daybreak.. Looks like a summer time squall line.. Probably looking at coating to an inch tonight away from SE New England and Maine. Then another coating to an inch or so with the squalls tomorrow morning.
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS is like 150 miles north every run since yesterday, a few more moves like that and we have something, still 4.5 days out ... Heres GEFS trend
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    She was the last benchmark ish bomb?
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR is interesting. Looks like a narrow bar of enhanced snow. And coatings to an inch around it.
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Step back at 00z hopefully we revert back positively for 12z
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Not interested in the 1-2" iso 3" potential for tomorrow night? Pretty cool for the ball drop
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Feb 2013 was supposed to last 6-12 hours longer, it never really stalled and looped like it was supposed to. Just imagine the totals.. woulda been 30-60” instead of 20-40”
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    I’ll take my chances with this pattern.
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    Damn that’s a solid one training too for some extra duration
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Managed to keep about a third of the pack! 100% cover of about 2.5”
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ours are much more accurate IMO https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-8-1996
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    A few light to moderate threats before the bigger threats Day 8-15
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Based on analogs and the block decaying .. The Jan 12-16th period is what I'm watching for a "BIG DOG". With a few moderate hits before that possible.
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya, I just want a bomb crawling around the benchmark and I'll take my chances.. It's always 50/50 whether or not we get the good banding or just a solid snowfall anyways.. There's just something about tracking a bombing Nor'Easter in the Northeast.
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes I agree with that
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Exactly
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I mentioned that above, it was weird , Got WNE and Eastern New England but skunked CNE
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Thank you .. I don't know where the stigma comes that NYC snow is bad for SNE.. There are plenty of good ones that get great bands into CNE and Maine.. Feb 2006, Feb 2013, Jan 1960..
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    5 days pre Boxing Day 2010 is number one analog for the 00z EPS Day 10.. Scoring a .93.. Eastern Mass scored 10-20" .. Place that storm 50-100 miles east and this forum gets 20-32"
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    There's been plenty of classic NYC storms that have also been great for much of New England ..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    Looks, blocky, cold over the NE, and potentially snowy to me.. Top analogs in this look are several top 10 snowstorms for SNE and NYC metro .. Including Boxing Day 2010, Dec 22 2009, Jan 2016, Dec 30 2000, and several from the 50s and 60s.
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