I just checked on WB for EURO , looks fine for SWCT, we'd pound , NE of here obviously much drier on euro, gfs def much drier here at onset in mid levels..
Man RRFS is the perfect replacement for the NAM, it jumps around just as much as it's drunk brother run to run .. Some of the radar hallucinations will be epic on Friday night .. FGEN bands crushing Syracuse headed right for SNE but wake up Saturday morning just to see it's still brown out ..
Much of SENY just north of the city will have 20-30” of snow this December after Saturday AM if the gfs verifies. While SNE is around 1-5” excluding the mountains.
Friday def isn't guaranteed for anywhere in New England. If we miss that too I'll be joining team Scooter if Friday ends up being congrats NYC or Philly. A nice 3-6" across all of SNE for all that miss the norlun would be very welcome and good for the inner weenie for the holidays.
Man it's hard to tell. HRRR is performing poorly, doesn't have this snow regeneration currently happening here..
You are def part of that screw zone for part 1 , hopefully you can grab an inch later tonight from part 2..
It'll pick back up, you should get to 2-2.5" if it doesn't melt a little.. Guidance is much colder than it was so those that get 1.5" + should easily keep it for a white christmas.
Roads were treated thoroughly in Seymour, just snowed hard enough to stick for 4 hours .. light snow now for a while it seems before we pick up around noon.. Sitting at 1.5"
Odd little event..
The good news is for NEMASS, hires stuff brings in some steady snow after dark , hopefully can maximize accumulations where it's all snow..
Guidance starting to show snow showers more consistently Christmas morning for the region.. I've never experienced snow falling at 7am Christmas morning, 2018 came just short as it ended before sunrise and quickly melted while EMASS got the best Christmas gift ever from mother nature..
It was worse during the heavier snow between 7-8am. Still snow covered roads during school drop off isn't that the standard nowadays? We cancel for everything "out of abundance of caution" cancels
All roads were treated here but still snowed hard enough for issues, lowest sun angle of the year helps. Interior SWCT was an easy call for no school. Once the rates pick up it sticks instantly .. looks like a lull til 11 or so then it picks back up .. right when Beacon Falls and Bethany let out..