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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. I'm hopeful to keep some semblance of -NAO and stay seasonable while most of the country warms up .. Guidance trending better in at least some -NAO around that time after losing the block on steriods over Hudson Bay idea .. I can see us getting lucky again and limiting the torch to a cutter only before we get -EPO cold
  2. Snow growth looks very good. IF we can muster .1" qpf then I could see 1-2" in spots ..
  3. HRRR still looking like coating to 1" on snow tonight , then an impressive squall line around sunrise dropping another coating to 1" .. SE New England still favored for more tonight especially cape and eastern maine
  4. Impressive snow squall threat tomorrow around daybreak.. Looks like a summer time squall line.. Probably looking at coating to an inch tonight away from SE New England and Maine. Then another coating to an inch or so with the squalls tomorrow morning.
  5. GFS is like 150 miles north every run since yesterday, a few more moves like that and we have something, still 4.5 days out ... Heres GEFS trend
  6. HRRR is interesting. Looks like a narrow bar of enhanced snow. And coatings to an inch around it.
  7. Step back at 00z hopefully we revert back positively for 12z
  8. Not interested in the 1-2" iso 3" potential for tomorrow night? Pretty cool for the ball drop
  9. Feb 2013 was supposed to last 6-12 hours longer, it never really stalled and looped like it was supposed to. Just imagine the totals.. woulda been 30-60” instead of 20-40”
  10. Damn that’s a solid one training too for some extra duration
  11. Managed to keep about a third of the pack! 100% cover of about 2.5”
  12. Ours are much more accurate IMO https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-8-1996
  13. A few light to moderate threats before the bigger threats Day 8-15
  14. Based on analogs and the block decaying .. The Jan 12-16th period is what I'm watching for a "BIG DOG". With a few moderate hits before that possible.
  15. Ya, I just want a bomb crawling around the benchmark and I'll take my chances.. It's always 50/50 whether or not we get the good banding or just a solid snowfall anyways.. There's just something about tracking a bombing Nor'Easter in the Northeast.
  16. Ya I mentioned that above, it was weird , Got WNE and Eastern New England but skunked CNE
  17. Thank you .. I don't know where the stigma comes that NYC snow is bad for SNE.. There are plenty of good ones that get great bands into CNE and Maine.. Feb 2006, Feb 2013, Jan 1960..
  18. 5 days pre Boxing Day 2010 is number one analog for the 00z EPS Day 10.. Scoring a .93.. Eastern Mass scored 10-20" .. Place that storm 50-100 miles east and this forum gets 20-32"
  19. There's been plenty of classic NYC storms that have also been great for much of New England ..
  20. Looks, blocky, cold over the NE, and potentially snowy to me.. Top analogs in this look are several top 10 snowstorms for SNE and NYC metro .. Including Boxing Day 2010, Dec 22 2009, Jan 2016, Dec 30 2000, and several from the 50s and 60s.
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