Sey-Mour Snow

Congrats Orlando by verification ? That’s actually one of the snowiest storms I’ve ever seen modeled, it has 65-75” around Pittsburgh 40-50” 10:1 from that one storm .. Huge swath of 15-30” probably 1,000 miles on a more serious note.. ensembles are all pointing to a high qpf overrunning event for this same period. So while this extreme mother of all snowstorms is highly unlikely , a significant overrunning type winter storm is being signaled by all ensembles for days 9 through 11, whether it’s rain/ ice / snow , or shreds we shall see..

I’d say ensembles show potential after the 20th. That could all easily be rain…. We will be flirting with the gradient.. pattern has gone exactly as expected by most so far this month, minus the no snow bad luck part

Canadian Parallel has had this threat as well. Something to keep an eye on..

For the very little it’s worth bc the GFS/GEFS is on everyone’s shit list including mine.. GEFS have about 25% of its members that turn that wave into a snowstorm here Sunday PM/Monday AM

Difference this time is Canadian looks the same through day 10. We shall see…

12z gfs is one of the ugliest op runs I’ve ever seen.

I think it will take a collective group name change all at once to flip our luck..

Let’s do it! Sey-Less snow or “Sey-Mour snow than Methuen”

The final week of January doesn’t look dry.

No but I’ll take a Feb 2021 walking through the door please

What’s sad is that SNE will have less than a few inches of snow this month through Jan 20th.

Ya gfs has a wave on the 20th, euro closer with 18th..

Ensembles don't like 1/18 but there have been some hits on the ops ocassionally in the 1/18-1/20 time frame

Only hope for widespread snow is a NW amplification trend on around MLK day for the next 7 days.. Guidance is still all over the place after that in terms of where the cold goes and where the gradient sets up .. There also seems to be an overrunning set up the end of next week in the 9-12 day range .. But again have to see where the gradient sets up

Wish it could be 6 months of 80s 4 months of deep winter and 1 month fall and spring.

That 6z GFS sums up our luck the last several years.. 15 days of ridge out west trough in east, parade of shortwaves diving under us , nothing bites.. what a joke

At least we had 30 min of fun

And euro

Solid squall, got clipped by it and got a good coating on road. Puking now. Must be epic SW of me in Monroe.

6” mean for your house wow!

How do you mute someone ?

Looks GREAT! For Flemish Cap

Damn my snow banks weren’t even 26” at the peak last Sunday

If this storm delivers a widespread 6”+ to the forum, we absolve torch tiger from all wrong doings.

Just finished training. Holy GFS, both AI models still have it just not as strong. We take and hope euro has at least a scraper. GEFS also much improved some solid hits in there which is all that matters.