Sey-Mour Snow

Torchy where? It’s pretty cold even immediate shore gets to around freezing.. just inland is upper 20s - 20-25 well inland..

12z gfs looked good for Sunday for SNE, decent jump south and cold. A good .15-.35” qpf for all

Are we still expecting stein asking for a friend? that was a GFS run for the ages at 00z 5-7” of precip as snow and ice for SNE and CNE over 15 days

Valentines dinner on the beach… Just one run but totally in the realm of possibilities.. If I don’t get sig snow give me 60s/70s please

CMC has a high impact winter storm verbatim wednesday several inches of snow and sleet to significant icing.. Interesting, no support currently for that much precip..

Good signal, showing up on EPS already this far out..

If I was a betting man that’s what I’d put my money on as of now, just need that cold to press a bit more …

Yessir does look that way

That was a small threat with not much support.. Next weekend is the first real widespread threat but could easily be all rain or just shear out we will see as we get closer.. mass border on northeast has a shot at Sunday night for a few inches.

A few big cutoff rainstorms in March and it's all forgotten and we are back to normal.. It's not much of a concern unless spring is dry as well and we are still in the middle of Winter so who cares..

Definitely not .. to Mass border for sure

Thank you so WxBell is actually more accurate lmao.

Ya thats what I meant, I looked after you said it, it's still not as wild as the 850 anomalies, who knows which one is right. Based on upper air you'd argue TT. But who knows what surface features will be there at that time ..

I see you'd just expect more surface anomaly based on the upper air pattern..

How is that? Is there evidence showing one is more accurate? Even TT isn't nearly as wild for the surface anomaly as it is at 850mb..

GEFS and EPS are very snowy from Superbowl Sunday on for all of New England not including the 2-3 snow threats before then for CNE and NNE... We will see if we can cash in... 850 anomalies were posted here is the surface anomaly for the same time period.. Maybe some freezing rain threats after a few snow threats near and after super bowl Sunday? We will see how it all plays out. Climo is on our side and the pattern for is not horrible.. But it's easy to see all of these threats being plain rain for a good chunk of SNE..

Don’t know if it was mentioned but the euro made pretty big jump at 18z to the south and colder for Friday.

Except everything shows that lmao.. 15 day anomaly shows above average precip with a gradient pattern.. just like when I posted it this weekend, nothing has changed..

Starts Friday

Worked so far this winter, just toss them when they are snowy, that's been the formula..

Not even a flake today and 95% of pack wiped out.. high of 49.. at least we can let go of the poor excuse of looking like winter around here. Hopefully Friday washes all the salt away.

The Weeklies Control Run was fun the other day, had 3 MECS starting Super Bowl Sunday one every 5-7 days..

Ya that was the idea this weekend, then guidance kind of backed off it a bit, EPS back on the solid -EPO train, GEFS and GEPS are solid for a time around the Super Bowl before weenie range torch not great like EPS in weenie range.. lets see if the signal can strengthen as we get closer..

Nice little breezy rain shower 49 degrees