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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Def wasn’t saturated .. barely flurries with that band . Looks like an area of moderate borderline heavy snow is approaching the NY state border. Good sign for later. .
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    First flakes, let’s see what this initial band does.
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Should be here before 10
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Snowing right on edge of radar too in Litchfield County . Thought we’d virga longer
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    The morning after a 1-3” storm I looked at the models and was shocked .
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    Beautiful enjoy! I just saw a 4-8” for map for all of ENE on twitter so I figured you saw it..
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Twitter?
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Here’s the GIF, ya it’s close .. it’s still 72-84 out .. would like to see ensembles at 00z jump onboard with some hits
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    …..
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    How much on the season?
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Great sports night UConn Knicks CFB
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    You might just get 3”+
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    22z hrrr ups the ante for sure
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think a valuable lesson sometimes I forget too is regardless of the pattern modeled, if there is an outlier amongst the big three ensembles, you can't just toss it, regardless of model biases. The GEFS never really bit on the mega west based block, we assumed it would trend towards the EPS as it usually does, however the opposite ended up being true. When a highly anomalous pattern is modeled, we need to see all three major ensembles on board for a few days for me to believe it.
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    ya funny thing is after trending for days to a massive west based block, we all knew the second it lost it , it wasn't coming back..
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Lol ya me and wolfie are BFF's now
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    My bad yes 100% misread that and you are right..
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    It seems people don't look at models, and just make their own conclusions/forecasts based on the emotions of others lol
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    What prophesy? It will snow 3x within the first 6 days of January, then a possible cutter or two before we reload cold and storm chances . And it's December 31st, anything can change post Jan 6..
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    If 12z tics one more time like that it will get interesting, but I’m not expecting that.
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    What a start for Syracuse. Closing in on 80” for only the 4th time ever before Jan 1. Over 100 years of records.
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    I'm hopeful to keep some semblance of -NAO and stay seasonable while most of the country warms up .. Guidance trending better in at least some -NAO around that time after losing the block on steriods over Hudson Bay idea .. I can see us getting lucky again and limiting the torch to a cutter only before we get -EPO cold
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Snow growth looks very good. IF we can muster .1" qpf then I could see 1-2" in spots ..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO hitting squalls hard too
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