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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Scott is chugging eggnog and buying more presents for the FAM after that 18z nam run..
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Are you just thinking that the heavy band on immediate shore and points south robs all the snow and subsidence directly north with no other banding?
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Damn HRRR getting wild for Jersey would extrapolate to like 6-12” with ratios and hours left
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Scott got an advisory 1 mile to his south for 2-4” hope it works out for you and your son.
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    NWS going advisories for all of southern ct , 2-4” locally 5”.. 4-6 locally 7” Long Island .. looks just like our map lol
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    What’s your latest thoughts with everything beefing up?
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Conservative final call, may be nudged north 5-15 miles tonight if mesos beef up. I wouldn’t be surprised in 5-7” amounts along the immediate south coast if that fronto band clips there. With .25-.45” qpf model blend in southern CT 2-4” should be easily attainable and if we can get those ratios to :15:1 there will be some surprises.
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    NAM just kinda looked delayed, I thought it lost it at first lol
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    I get no respect .. been saying 2-4” for out coast an SE Mass and started the thread lmao
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    I’d imagine gfs and euro tic south to add some confusion since the hires models pretty much held serve
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    Long range HRRR starting to look like other guidance now at 00z, it’s been the most paltry.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya tossing reggie and 6z euro..
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    RRFS back to earth looks like Euro now, I think the Nam's have the right idea as they are a blend of EURO and GFS
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Would be funny if we all got a coating to an inch or less and it was all done before sunrise so no one saw a flake..
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Trending drier on the meh guidance especially as you go NE / dry air then fights in from the NW Sunday morning with the front
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    NAMs and HRRR show Litchfield county getting some bonus snow tomorrow night too.. Watch them jack
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Verbatim meh for us like 6z, but the goods trended beefier just a hair to our south
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    The best banding is further north than 6z gets to Long Island this run, however the northern edge of precip shield is a touch south overall
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    No, but it wasn't great was like 1-2 maybe 3" of fluff for us
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Through 36 looks like NAM might bump north a tad with better trough orientation, but I don't expect much difference from 6z
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Looks better to me at 30 with trajectory of energy diving down and angle of trough
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Over (me) under (you) for 2" for my back yard ... Loser doesn't post til next year..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    Going with a blend, if NAM/GFS starts to line up with the Euro/Rgem/RRFS camp then we can bump up an inch. Not much but it’s all we got.
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