Sey-Mour Snow

It’s been the same for a while. Widespread 1-2”. With 3-5” in the dong very localized 6”+ possible .. Most likely spot is somewhere in ENE.

No I used the NAM as well.

Their 8-14 day I’m sure has us in orange.

I see a 4-7 day stretch of 45-65 potential

Looks like 50s for at least a few days

EURO loves Eastern CT into Western 2/3rd of Mass gets .2-.3" qpf locally more from the IVT

Still waiting on WB maps, but first look seems like EPS is very juicy for Valentines day, and AIFS ens like mid next week a good bit, it's not loading any farther than that though..

Ya looks like IVT on Euro several hours of snow .. Wonder if that would beef up qpf a good bit more if that verified

That's why mid feb storms are better more qpf usually .. Yes a ton of ensemble support actually

lol if only.. Euro doesn't spit out too many weenie solutions anymore rare to see a 12z or 00z run do this.. Signal is there but it will change every 6 hours until early next week ..

Meh only 20-40" 982 on BM

Ya that brings the core overhead

Idk did you ? Today was the first day I programmed outdoor running in the gym workouts since early January and they didn’t complain.

It’s all relative my friend morning low was 20. You know that felt amazing on your morning run.

Interesting timing difference.. GFS/NAM vs EURO .. EURO slowly bleeds the cold in Saturday afternoon.. NAM/GFS are much more of a "whoosh" with NAM showing an 18 degree in one hour temp drop around daybreak here.. ICON/Canadian more in line with the EURO, so it's American guidance vs foreign.

Yes, still going to be frigid, just not as bad as it looked earlier in the week... Core is north and west, not directly over us.. It will feel worse with the wind and after the thaw Monday through today

Don't know about roads icing up Saturday with temps in the teens when snow starts for most. Won't be much melting to freeze up. What are you seeing for Monday as of now Monday doesn't have much support, EURO guidance is not enthused? Also it does warmup next week compared to what we've seen, CNE and NNE will be +5 to +10 for a week long stretch, but that hopefully brings in the snow around Valentines..

CoastalWx will be so happy if the GFS holds it and it snows where CoastalWx lives

Euro trend

Ya I’ve noticed that too, euro trending less intense over us as well

I agree, hopefully we can also get that clipper Super Bowl night to trend north and a bit more amped.

You can clearly see the temps moderate after early next week on the ensembles but still plenty serviceable. Hopefully a return to more seasonable temps brings the snow back with it.

The pattern definitely has potential and it’s cold and dry. However there will be a gradient that sets up. SNE can be on the warmer mix/rain side or seasonably cold and snowier side

Probably down to 8” now. Melted just like your snow melted from the snow you didn’t get Sunday. My post said run of the mill arctic cold snap which is what it will be if 850 temps of -18 verify like the 18z GFS has. The -30 the GFS had a few runs ago would be much higher impact and record breaking. I also did say bitter wind chills with 30 to 40mph winds so not sure where the confusion is, we’ve had several shots of cold air recently this one will be much of the same with a bit more wind this time and hopefully some snow.