that area in north and central jersey seems to be the jack every single storm this month. There is a 50 square mile area that has 50"+ already not counting 3-6" from today possible.
it definitely is, we are right on the line, will be interesting, almost no chance for accumulation for most of CT east of 91 besides the NE hills. however much of western CT has a chance at something, we watch.
Snow coming down heavy in central and northern New Jersey and starting to stick on roads with heavier rates even with temps 34-36. Snow growth looks amazing on HRRR in that area.
Reports from south central Jersey are encouraging, folks expecting all rain are getting heavy snow, snowing with temps 35-38 then wet bulbing down near freezing.
Yes seems the colder trends coincide with faster arrival of precip which doesn’t allow surface to warm as much. SPC mesoanalysis surface wet bulb is very cold still.
Well then .. 12 HRRR.. Most mets would hope thats wrong in CT .. Although the inner snow lover would love to see that happen.. 2" per hour for 1-3 hours across much of CT as heavy snow causes dynamical cooling.