Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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ya looks good out east for a good finish on top of this.. We should wrap up out west by 7am but already 6-10" widespread lol
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Oh it def did, the storm is well SE of BM, this is just the 700 goodies here, more classic coastal features for ENE though.
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6.9" down ti 1.2" per hour..
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Nice good for you George lets get you to a foot.
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Ryan literally wrote back to you.
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won't be high enough I'm afraid @4Seasons @WinterWolf and ginx may pull 12"+
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6.3" ... 2.1" last 30 min ... 4.2" per hour rates!
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IF big IF this continues until 7:30am someone will have a foot.. already 5-6" widespread...
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this heavy stuff ends between 7-8 northwest to southeast
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6"+ will be widespread by 5am south and east of 84..
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4.2" band built north a few miles to save my area for a little bit longer hopefully..
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3.7" .7 in 15 minutes for 2.8" per hour rate 40-45 dbz.. hrr looks to slip this south then reinvigorate overhead before moving everything east after 7am, should be an overperformer for many just SE of 84.
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3.0” 40dbz over our area. Wheeeeeeees @The 4 Seasons nailed last Super Bowl analog!! Enjoy CT folk hopefully everyone gets this band
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Final call staying the course just mentioning potential for 8”+ if a quasi stationary band does develop.
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The east low is stronger by 2 mb at hour 8 on HRRR. Banding is much more in line with the 12z, 18z runs, much more robust again on 00z than the previous 5 runs..
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Do you know when ?
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chased again but end result about the same maybe a tic snowier...
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There are several massive ENE hits in there like 18"+ at 10:1
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21z and 22z runs have really cut back and pushed east.. still like 3-5" in CT at 10:1
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Well the spread now is like 3-6" vs 6-10"
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Question guys? I know we don't like to use ensembles this close in, but what do we think about the GEFS really ramping up at this stage? Quite a few more really amped members and a very high mean compared to the last 15-20 runs, I know it usually follows its op run, do you guys think it's just noise following the op run, or showing the potential of this ramping up more at 00z?
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Doesn't mean anything for us, it's going west of us and will transfer to coastal.
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what site do you use?
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Seems like we still get the heavy band but it’s a bit quicker to go through here
