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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    15-35" from Monmouth county to Ocean City
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    It's a major nod to gfs though with the Delmarva getting smoked like gfs had yesterday .. still plenty of time for NAM to trend NE .. thats a tucked in LBSW bomb though
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    100% rain here a few sleet pellets mixed in 34 degrees.. sacrificing this storm being warm to get Sunday night better
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Or gfs to verify, rgem had a band getting close to here .. I’m hopeful, unless we get messenger shuffles here on out then we are screwed IMO west of river
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    We can also put an end to the lack of bombing lows around the benchmark streak
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    Maybe, doesn't have to be, could be a Juno where it gets to you only and I smoke exhaust from your ccb .. nice banding showing up on guidance hopefully it spreads the wealth
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    This is why meteorologists get a bad name.. Everyone wants to be the first to post.. He should give it until later today.. I am incrementally letting our following know about the threat increasing, this way if we get a carpet pull it's not a shock..
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Looks nothing like gfs .. tic SE on AI, op held serve mostly .. mod hit cape gets crushed .. just so much different especially nyc metro than gfs
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    lol EURO says no thanks..
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    24-36” from dc to central jersey
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    Getting very interesting
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I’m not getting excited til 12:15am if we hold the look and even make it better. If we tick back east then we are at the same spot as 12z today.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    It’s a whiff too..
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Like I said earlier - no definitives we still have a chance with all scenarios still on the table..
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think a lot are over this winter with all the wasted potential and constant teasing. I’m def hoping for an early spring.
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Down to 4-8" here .. with grass popping up under the tree branches and from salted areas ..
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    lol AIFS wayyy East
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I'm in the same boat .. I'd take a wind driven 4-8" snowfall to end the season though.. As is we need a miracle to get a big dog like GFS has over DC - IF EURO doesn't join us at 12z then it's virtually impossible IMO
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Thank god we don't live in DC - talk about high stakes
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Significantly better at 500 though..
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Honestly I don’t think anyone trusts it I know I don’t, I think it’s more our dumb luck, it’ll finally catch a bone and be 100% right just to F us again. I'm thinking 25% chance big hit 50% light to mid snow 25% compete whiff
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO AI didn't budge the SLP location from 00z, Low 970s very near BM just SE gust like GFS.. Euro is nowhere close to that.. Euro crosses 70W at 997mb at 36 degrees latitude lol while the others are a hair from the BM at 970mb
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    ticked SE nice mod event back to 91 would get some good banding, potentially major ENE
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    I need to see GFS and CMC to hold and expand precip shield and 12z AI come NW like 00z or even better, that would give me solid confidence and think that the EURO will eventually cave.. But if AI/GFS/CMC start ticking SE we can expect a blend towards EURO solution.
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