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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. At this stage every model was, euro and gfs were completely out to see 48-60 hours out for Sunday's storm
  2. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-16-17-2003 Resemblance is wild.. need to trend this 250 miles north in 5.5 days.. @ORH_wxman whats your recollection on PD2 and the last 48 hours trend north?
  3. Yes and regardless what model, Richmond is ground zero right now, some of the means are unreal.. Still 5.5 days out plenty of time to pull her north..
  4. 00z GEFS was a broad light to mod hit from Norfolk to Portland Maine
  5. I agree that trends don't look good if you toss the AI models with the cold press from Canada.. However, I do like how consistent the AI's have been. Also PD2 is a pretty damn close analog and we know how that trended north last 48 hours.. Also the ops have been occasionally showing some hits.. Have to start getting some more op hits, looks like it's all about how the SW vort ejects and phases in..
  6. 4.1” congrats out east well deserved! Let’s bring in PD3 this weekend!
  7. Think that’s it here 1.8” and 2.2” .. 4.0” total . 3.2” yesterday not bad.. will be winter wonderland in the AM
  8. 2.2” my guess / for an awesome 6" pack before the cold when we on thursday or friday we thought zilch
  9. If we can lock in the 18z AIGFS no one would complain the rest of the season
  10. Radar looking impressive in Jersey, based on snow rates earlier , I think we pound for a few hours
  11. Look at how it blossoms starting at 4pm. Hrrr is very nice additional 3-5” for many.. 2-3” extreme western New England
  12. It’s been forecast to dry out though .. tonight’s action is developing nicely in NJ now.. think we all get an additional 2-4”, more out east.
  13. Both AI models are a carbon copy for next weekend PD3 type of setup
  14. Ya, just get some precip into the cold dome, won't even need that much qpf.. Then Take a look at 500 on the 29th threat.. Big Dog pattern.
  15. Feel for you bro, I have a good feeling you will wake up to the same landscape that we all did to today when you wake up tomorrow.
  16. According to HRRR, radar should start blossoming in Jersey between 1-2pm and start heading NE.
  17. I only use weather tap and radar scope which are both paid.. I'd say wunderground is probably best free one..
  18. That storm has been waffling from a wintry mix to a hit to supressed, we track..
  19. Funny looks much better than I imagined it would for this time, the lull was well forecasted , it will pick back up in the next few hours and spread NE as we watch a playoff snow game .
  20. It’s awesome out, steady tiny flakes , low ceilings with fog above the tree lines
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