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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    The Canadian Parallel is a KU for New England the weekend, I've been looking at it, no idea how it scores, it was one of the first models to catch on to yesterday's potential, that's about all I know about it.. It's experimental, but I read it's taking over for the CMC this year ..
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    It allowed the trees to keep all snow - photogenic scenes out there for all. Now that the light is hitting the trees I captured this.. Just a reminder how bad it’s been for us. I moved here in 2018.. 8 years and I’ve never had back to back months over 8” of snow until the last 2 months. 13.4” December and 9.6” January - 23.0” on the season
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Also verification scores still have AIFS ENS as number one performing 500mb verification last 90 days so we do have to give them some weight. Caveat is I don't know the source of this data..
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think it's a combo of both as I'm noticing the runs that our south the SW shortwave gets left behind. Also we never want to be ground zero at day 5.5, rarely works out.
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    At this stage every model was, euro and gfs were completely out to see 48-60 hours out for Sunday's storm
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-16-17-2003 Resemblance is wild.. need to trend this 250 miles north in 5.5 days.. @ORH_wxman whats your recollection on PD2 and the last 48 hours trend north?
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes and regardless what model, Richmond is ground zero right now, some of the means are unreal.. Still 5.5 days out plenty of time to pull her north..
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    00z GEFS was a broad light to mod hit from Norfolk to Portland Maine
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    I agree that trends don't look good if you toss the AI models with the cold press from Canada.. However, I do like how consistent the AI's have been. Also PD2 is a pretty damn close analog and we know how that trended north last 48 hours.. Also the ops have been occasionally showing some hits.. Have to start getting some more op hits, looks like it's all about how the SW vort ejects and phases in..
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    4.1” congrats out east well deserved! Let’s bring in PD3 this weekend!
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Think that’s it here 1.8” and 2.2” .. 4.0” total . 3.2” yesterday not bad.. will be winter wonderland in the AM
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    Good morning
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    1” new 2.8” on the day.. snowing well finally
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    2.2” my guess / for an awesome 6" pack before the cold when we on thursday or friday we thought zilch
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    The field is heated..
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Congrats EMASS radar looks great
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    If we can lock in the 18z AIGFS no one would complain the rest of the season
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Radar looking impressive in Jersey, based on snow rates earlier , I think we pound for a few hours
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Look at how it blossoms starting at 4pm. Hrrr is very nice additional 3-5” for many.. 2-3” extreme western New England
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    It’s been forecast to dry out though .. tonight’s action is developing nicely in NJ now.. think we all get an additional 2-4”, more out east.
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Both AI models are a carbon copy for next weekend PD3 type of setup
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya, just get some precip into the cold dome, won't even need that much qpf.. Then Take a look at 500 on the 29th threat.. Big Dog pattern.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Feel for you bro, I have a good feeling you will wake up to the same landscape that we all did to today when you wake up tomorrow.
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    According to HRRR, radar should start blossoming in Jersey between 1-2pm and start heading NE.
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    I only use weather tap and radar scope which are both paid.. I'd say wunderground is probably best free one..
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