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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya that’s a big shift from 12z, rgem and rrfs with gfs moving west at least give the AIs some backup
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Wrong thread this is for the Saturday event
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    AIGFS another “solid it”
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS continuing its ridiculousness as of late.. has a borderline warning event for parts of ct Saturday and a widespread 2-4”
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    2-4” widespread for SNE
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR and NAMs are nice for many
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Fact of the matter is. This period was never highlighted as snowy on ensembles, long wave pattern was there, but we knew it was a long shot, and as unscientific as it is, the ensembles were never snowy. This weekend is gravy, the money pattern is Jan 22-Feb 2nd. Could be an epic stretch.. Ensembles are honking… yes we have heard this before, but we should have 2 shots at big qpf producers over a cold dome.
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    I am not taking any sides , I give up, just kind of wait and see approach
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Pretty epic never seen highs modeled below zero down here.. there is very strong agreement on an epicly cold and potential very snow 15 days starting Saturday. Regardless of what happens Sunday.
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    I mean the EURO op and EURO AIFS look nothing alike for Sunday at 500….
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    AIFS with a solid move west pretty close with GFS AI now,
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    The AIGFS has 7 snow events in the next 12 days.
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS and GEFS are 100% unusable .. the flip flopping is atrocious .. sticking with AIs EURO and then hires close in for now..
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Probably not til Saturday. Hoping for a few inches from both..
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Looks borderline SE of 84 and warm SE of 95. Will need rates and timing to be early morning. I couldn’t see a stripe of 2-4” in the meat of the band where it’s cold enough
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Snow growth looks solid, nice lift in the snow growth zone.. Should be a solid swath of .15-.35" qpf
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    made a thread to separate the Saturday and Sunday convo..
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Seems all we can muster up this season are these coating to 2" storms. Higher elevations favored, should be a a few hour period of moderate snow.. Timing differences with the steadiest snow, GFS is a bit earlier, EURO a bit later.. Looks like a snowy Saturday morning for most, earlier the better for accumulation potential down to the shore..
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Look at euro snow output through day 12 for some comedic relief
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    rev is that you?
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Today 50-55 , tomorrow a few squalls
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Actually several models and ensembles like your area .. We will see if it holds at 12z
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR is like 55-60 for the Boston Metro, around 55 for Kevin and Hartford metro
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Maybe we can get lucky like the old days and pull of a Feb 7 2021 weenie band Sunday/Monday https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-7-2021 That storm was forecast to be a massive hit in the mid range, then had the rug pulled in the 48-72 hour range came back last second to still be 6-12"
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    6z update on Sunday/Monday threat .. GFS NW moderate hit for ENE, EURO ticked SE, AIFS NW - light to moderate hit ENE
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