Sey-Mour Snow

I think things definitely de amp as we get to 00z tonight.. Will be a 6-8" jack zone locally 10.. and 3-6" around that with 1-3" on the fringes.. Not some of these wild solutions we've seen. Euro has had the right idea of not being too amped..

I’ve definitely thought this. Would be be surprised if it we get the one max Binghamton to bdr then another slightly less max around Kevin

GFS looks very euro like and reasonable

NYC in trouble

RRFS finally on board whats a 250 mile multi run shift amongst drunk brothers

Icon, RGEM, RRFS all NE at 12z small bump with Icon .. I think ground zero will end up being an axis from Binghamton to BDR 15 miles either side of that line

That's the RGEM

Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero..

Reggie went SW at 6z, Herpes is what you looked at which is erratic and unusable usually, but every blind squirrel

I feel like those are modeled every decent storm, then fade quick as storm starts, models are more weenies that us.. They happen but are very rare ..

Called the hartford jack this run

From Tomer.. His model ratio calculates 4-5" per hour over SENY and NNJ in that band lmao

You gotta check out modeled soundings for HPN under that mega band on HRRR

I mean plenty of guidance supports 6-8" . I like 4-8/6-10 to give more of a range. We haven't had things break our way in a while, so it's best to stay conservative. Right now north west NYC metro is favored..

Man thats a Major NYC metro snowstorm, lets pull that NE please.. Verbatim would be 12-17"+ in the jack stripe , what a weenie run