Sey-Mour Snow

Same. Cleared for tomorrow waking up at 5 to see that epic squall. Happy New Years everyone.

Def wasn’t saturated .. barely flurries with that band . Looks like an area of moderate borderline heavy snow is approaching the NY state border. Good sign for later. .

First flakes, let’s see what this initial band does.

Should be here before 10

Snowing right on edge of radar too in Litchfield County . Thought we’d virga longer

The morning after a 1-3” storm I looked at the models and was shocked .

Beautiful enjoy! I just saw a 4-8” for map for all of ENE on twitter so I figured you saw it..

Twitter?

Here’s the GIF, ya it’s close .. it’s still 72-84 out .. would like to see ensembles at 00z jump onboard with some hits

…..

How much on the season?

Great sports night UConn Knicks CFB

You might just get 3”+

22z hrrr ups the ante for sure

I think a valuable lesson sometimes I forget too is regardless of the pattern modeled, if there is an outlier amongst the big three ensembles, you can't just toss it, regardless of model biases. The GEFS never really bit on the mega west based block, we assumed it would trend towards the EPS as it usually does, however the opposite ended up being true. When a highly anomalous pattern is modeled, we need to see all three major ensembles on board for a few days for me to believe it.