Sey-Mour Snow

Ya not implying you, I know your name well, that’s why I said newbies. Congrats on the jack!

Good time to remind the newbies to measure on a patio or snow board. Grass measurements will inflate by up to an inch.

The Canadian Parallel is a KU for New England the weekend, I've been looking at it, no idea how it scores, it was one of the first models to catch on to yesterday's potential, that's about all I know about it.. It's experimental, but I read it's taking over for the CMC this year ..

It allowed the trees to keep all snow - photogenic scenes out there for all. Now that the light is hitting the trees I captured this.. Just a reminder how bad it’s been for us. I moved here in 2018.. 8 years and I’ve never had back to back months over 8” of snow until the last 2 months. 13.4” December and 9.6” January - 23.0” on the season

Also verification scores still have AIFS ENS as number one performing 500mb verification last 90 days so we do have to give them some weight. Caveat is I don't know the source of this data..

I think it's a combo of both as I'm noticing the runs that our south the SW shortwave gets left behind. Also we never want to be ground zero at day 5.5, rarely works out.

At this stage every model was, euro and gfs were completely out to see 48-60 hours out for Sunday's storm

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-16-17-2003 Resemblance is wild.. need to trend this 250 miles north in 5.5 days.. @ORH_wxman whats your recollection on PD2 and the last 48 hours trend north?

Yes and regardless what model, Richmond is ground zero right now, some of the means are unreal.. Still 5.5 days out plenty of time to pull her north..

00z GEFS was a broad light to mod hit from Norfolk to Portland Maine

I agree that trends don't look good if you toss the AI models with the cold press from Canada.. However, I do like how consistent the AI's have been. Also PD2 is a pretty damn close analog and we know how that trended north last 48 hours.. Also the ops have been occasionally showing some hits.. Have to start getting some more op hits, looks like it's all about how the SW vort ejects and phases in..

4.1” congrats out east well deserved! Let’s bring in PD3 this weekend!

Think that’s it here 1.8” and 2.2” .. 4.0” total . 3.2” yesterday not bad.. will be winter wonderland in the AM

Good morning

1” new 2.8” on the day.. snowing well finally