Sey-Mour Snow

He’s about to get a good squall

Average depth here held solid at 10-12” this morning. The glaze of ice probably protected the melt off today.

Intense line of squalls dropping south from mass into NWCT

What’s up with the AIFS, it’s so damn snowy. 4-6” mean Monday then another several inches the following 10 day. As a 12-18” total mean for all of New England about the highest all year.

wow 10 members 20"+ at 10:1

Sunday into Monday

For shits and giggles the 12 and 18" odds on eps and aifs ens are relatively high for 5 days out like 10-20% so there are some really big hitters .. hopefully the threat continues for 12z..

it is 00z had it, need to slow down the departing cold air tap north of us which is possible as of now it's not likely that it all happens perfectly, again it's all thread the needle..

Need some High Pressure over Quebec rather than a low, compare the colder 00z to 6z..

damn thought you'd do better based on radar when you were sleeping.. everything is a sheet of ice here about .1" ice and there is a salt shortage in the area, main roads are fine but lots and side roads are a disaster, schools all delayed , some should be closed..

00z is a better setup to draw in the cold, 6z was worse synoptically which torched us.. I guess I could see a thread the needle but it's very low odds, bc we just don't need a NW trend, we also need a cold tap with a shitty airmass in place

Even that run verbatim there's just no cold air, would be 90% rain in the WCB.. 925 is torched til the end

I'd assume this is as good as it gets before it ticks back south.. Power out for days in SNE.. A lot of the features are in place by 72-96 hours would be an epic fail by the euro or an even worse fail by all other guidance

Relying on euro on an island good luck (if we get more guidance on board then I'm game) / 6z AIFS with a solid trend north last 4 runs ..

Looks like Kevin will get a solid 2-3 hours of good rates , training good cells in the northern 3rd of ct while he rest of the state gets flurries