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wxsniss

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Everything posted by wxsniss

  1. 12z UK more or less held, maybe a hair warmer in southern zones / within noise, but it was on the colder extreme at 0z
  2. 0z Euro steady, maybe ~10 miles tic north compared to 12z Euro, within noise Pretty remarkable consensus and consistency for ~2.5 days away... unusual for this otherwise wacky season
  3. Harv was pretty bullish earlier... sleet maybe at most to pike, otherwise mostly snow, 8" line through Boston
  4. Yeah NAM definitely coming south a good chunk You could say it's NAM caving given that it was alone and northernmost, but NAM still not in dependable range anyway
  5. Not one of our higher-stakes nail-biting KU's, but kind of nice to have a relatively stress-free leadup for a change. And (I added above): eastern zones may see an addition 1-2" after 7pm Also as Tip just posted: arguably worse impact of IP/ZR and freezeover in southern zones
  6. Opening bid from NWS... pretty strong guidance support for this Eastern zones may pick up an additional 1-2" on top of this 7-7pm map Nice widespread event, it's been a while...
  7. Impressive 2 minutes... rivals rates we saw during that WAA ~1:30am Dec 17, 2020 Looks like it dissipated a bit once inside 495 Love seeing streetlights turn on from preceding darkness
  8. Was wondering same, but just saw this AFD update: 340pm update... still doing "nowcasting" of the band of snow showers. It does appear it is weakening as it`s now getting into the CT River Valley, but that could be an artifact of radar coverage since our radar beams are highest above the ground in that part of the area - so we don`t have good sampling of the lowest few thousand feet where all the action is. Still locally brief heavy snow producing low visibilities for a few minutes and that is expected to be the case for the next hour or so as it moves east. Latest HRRR still shows the band stays together at it reaches the coast, so we can`t totally write it off at this point. Just might not be strong enough to warrant Snow Squall Warnings, but still will produce some briefly difficult driving conditions.
  9. Sun is out through cloud breaks in Boston area, let's see if we can maintain/boost instability as the band progresses east
  10. On hires models, echoes appear to intensify significantly as soon as band moves off coast… why is that? Steeper lapse rates?
  11. A decent tic up 700 fronto is delivering at the moment
  12. That Worcester now 495 band is fascinating... keeps regenerating while pivoting east, and can also see additional pulses entering from northeast... deformation? pieces of CCB? some low-level convergence? the smaller band behind it further west is reinvigorating too
  13. RAP better than HRRR Also I forgot: in shortterm HREF was decent
  14. Awesome storm The Memento tattoos (add any thoughts, correct if wrong): trust nothing more than Euro and within-24hr-NAM. RGEM was terrible. I thought winds were somewhat underwhelming, peak seemed around 18z... perhaps reflecting the extreme tilt of the system with the surface low so far east. And that peak deepening was in morning hours. Nowhere close to Jan 2005 for Boston area which was virtually a white hurricane, dynamics unmatched since imo.
  15. With that Worcester band decaying as it moves east, pretty confident KBOS cracks 2 feet
  16. Near Brookline Village I tried to measure, really inaccurate and guesstimating 20-24" around 4pm
  17. That's a good measurement. I went out 4pm, guesstimate 20-24 inches
  18. Still easily 1-2" / hr in Brookline Went for a walk, no way to measure, feet in some areas, inches in others. If 14.5 at 1pm, Logan is certainly over 20" by now. Will post pics in a bit, phone always dies in the cold
  19. 18z-22z was always progged to be peak for eastern MA and it's not disappointing
  20. Yep, might be back to heaviest of event as that band expands west and pivots Logan farther east must be close to 20 at this point
  21. Keep em coming @DotRat_Wx! Wish I could post more Boston metro southeast getting crushed from this 700 fronto band since this morning. No doubt 30" will be reach somewhere southeast MA TWC reported 17.6" Logan at 2pm, didn't see on PNS Before/1pm photos from Brookline Village just outside of Boston during some of the heaviest of the event so far:
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