Jonathan

Here come the plethora of 10-or-less-post-having random Myrtle Beach posters going nuts in the 1/3-4 thread. lul Why do you love snow and live in Myrtle Beach? Get real. Move.

HM (I'm paraphrasing here) basically said on Twitter yesterday that the N PAC pattern looks to remain solid for the foreseeable future and if you think the overall large scale pattern will break down, you're probably gonna be wrong. @antmasiello "If you are expecting the North Pacific pattern to flip next month or take on some kind of 2012-like look, you're going to be disappointed. It's not happening." "The Siberian stationary wave system and MQI should prevent a torch scenario. This doesn't mean zero periods of warmth or SE ridge. AAM propagation is one wildcard as well as any intraseasonal Indo pulse. But background state should limit their dominance... Gulp." "One crazier scenario is that the IO forcing-->N Pac circulation lock, creates a looping RMM, weaker Indo response and right back to dual Pac mode forcing. If that occurs, more significant Arctic shots would be on the way next month after current one settles."

Start the thread, apparently. She was smoking in that sparkly see-through dress and stilettos!

How many failed storm threads are we going to start this week?

You keep saying that. but with this pattern, you and T-Pain have a better shot at snow in Tallahassee than we do up here!

I'm trying to figure out why EVERYONE isn't in here. I guess the cold is intriguing. The whole "YOU CAN'T HAVE SNOW WITHOUT COLD" is a moot point. Sure, that's true, but you also CAN'T HAVE SNOW WITH TOO MUCH COLD. Again, this shows the absolute imperativeness of a -NAO for snow here. Period. And if we can't have a -NAO, we at the very least need some ridging in the Atlantic.

Are we allowed to post profanity-ridden messages to accurately display our displeasure, disappointment and despair? I need a drink or 12.

Hello darkness, my old friend. Looks like I'll be dwelling here in my own creation: the SE forum pit of misery for a week! Dilly dilly!

Temp 32 TD 30 Moderate Snow and I've eclipsed an inch!

EURO is more amped/closer to the coast with precip further west and some double digit totals along the central VA/NC line. Wow.

The doctor is in! We're gonna need this tomorrow, I guarantee it.

I'm really sorry if it comes off that way. I try not to poop on anyone's parade and nothing would be cooler than to see a system that gets THIS WHOLE SUBFORUM involved. That's just hard to do. I've tried to keep quiet on this one for the most part. I think I'll have mixing issues too here in the foothills. When it comes down to it, everyone roots for each other but everyone wants THEIR yard covered. I really do hope you Raleigh guys see snow. You're due. You deserve it.

Wxbell has kuchera maps for the euro, are they not the real deal?

Agreed, but question. Does the kuchera ratio not take those variables into its output?

Wow, yeah. SREF is juicy. Probably the most juiced run its had.

Well the 6z GFS was one of the better runs we've had. Low closer to the coast, precip shield further west.

*crickets* Turn the lights out and close down the thread, this one's over. Goodnight, Irene!

Comforting words will be needed ASAP.

Same! We need a good old fashioned southern slider then a turn up the coast to give the Raleigh guys a shot too. I always root for everyone, but when it comes down to it, everyone wants it in their own backyard.

I wouldn't rule out a tick more than token flakes for us, Frosty! Watch this thing jog NW tomorrow.

The precip shield on the models is still baffling me. Straight up razor blade cutoff with copious GOM moisture and some orographic lift east of the mtns. Does not compute lol.

Yes.

Why do the Pivotal maps look so different from TT maps? Precip is doubled on pivotal it looks like.

Gotcha, thanks yoda! Anyway, to get back on topic, for those in western NC into southern VA (I-85 / I-77 corridors), do any models have a known sort of bias for not having enough precip on the western side of storm systems? Can't remember ever looking at a radar with a razor-edged cutoff on any side of a storm system. Even if precip is lighter (this isn't a huge system after all), I would think these areas would have a better shot at an all-snow event.

Think I'll stay up for the EURO to crush my dreams. Where do you guys go to view the UKMET? The meteocentre site I have only goes out to 72 hours. Doesn't it go out to 120?